I think initiation fees all depend on the MSA, generally speaking, but overall there is a trend towards much lower downstrokes.
The number one issue for clubs getting a big initiation fee is that Companies aren't paying for memberships anymore, or at least not like they used to. Up to just ten years ago Banks were paying memberships at top clubs for sales guys. But after the recession that practice is all but done.
In a city like Chicago, twenty years ago almost every club along the North Shore was charging $75-$100thd in initiation fees. A big part of that is that obviously there is a lot of wealth in the area and not that many clubs, but further driving demand was the general segregation of clubs...there were only so many 'Catholic' clubs, 'WASP' clubs, 'Jewish' clubs, etc. Therefore if you were a weathly Catholic living on the North Shore you were willing to pay a bunch in order to hang out with your wealthy Catholic buddies at North Shore CC or to a lesser extent Sunset Ridge CC.
Many of the clubs on the North Shore still charge big initiation fees, but for younger guys who join in their twenties they attempt to defer the cost to age 35 or 40 to make it easier for those folks to swallow. But even still I know a lot of guys who are Junior members at their parents clubs and they are staring down a $50thd downstroke and many of them just figure it's not worth it. It can be a number of factors, but in Chicago's case a lot of people are staying in the city longer either because that's where they would prefer to live or it's too extensive to buy a house on the North Shore. Or it takes too long to get up to the golf course from the city so the younger people hardly use it or get up there. Or the costs to belong are too high...one friend put it this way...to have three people as guests at a private club on the North Shore it costs $1thd once you factor in guest fees, caddies, drinks, etc. That's a lot of money. So this one person just chooses to go play Harborside with friends when they want to play. Plus I have friends who don't really like to hang out at their clubs anymore...they are outdated, quiet, and not the definition of "fun" that a 25-40 year old is looking for these days.
Here in Minnesota, there are very few clubs that can command an initiation fee more than $20thd. Pretty much Interlachen, Minikahda, WBYC, and Spring Hill as far as I know. And even ICC I know one guy who moved to town, joined, and was given a crazy inexpensive/flexible deal there to join. (He only belonged for a year before he had to move again for work).
My club could probably charge a little more in Initiation Fees, given we're the only club in St. Paul proper. I think full boat is $12thd now. But the leadership likes it generally low as they want/believe they need more bodies and members in order to support the club (even capital expenditures) through dues and cash flow. When they had a new clubhouse planned, even then they weren't planning on assessing the membership...they were just going to raise dues to cover the additional debt service.
My thought at the time was that you've now taken away meaningful initiation fees, so members have way less "skin in the game", and now dues are that much higher. So you've now made the decision to leave the club WAY easier for more people the next time a recession hits...