If you plot the average swing speed over the last 14 seasons you get the trend equation (0.145 * x - 178) Which would suggest that the average clubhead speed on the PGA tour in 2001 would have been ~112.15 mph.
Those assume that nothing else changed between 2007 and 2000, and several things changed from 2000 to 2007.
To believe that on the whole players 30 years ago had poor technique or were terribly conditioned for golf is just naive.
Ben, where did I say they were terribly conditioned or had poor technique? I didn't. I simply said that players are better today.
Everything has impacted the evolution of the game, but in relationship to areas such as the equipment, fitness and technique has had a much, much lower total impact.
My point was it's more than equipment. Even just understanding how beneficial it can be to hit it 30 yards farther if you're in the rough only 1.4 times more per round or something changes the way people approach the strategic elements of playing golf.
I would imagine there are a multitude of modern players that would be longer than Norman using his equipment, but it's very hard to believe they would be able to be as long and keep the ball on the course.
I picked a random year (1990) and compared it to 2020.
Dustin Johnson hits 61.18% of his fairways. Greg Norman in 1990 hit 68.10% (just under one less fairway hit per round)
while hitting it over 30 yards farther than Norman (308.3 vs. 277.6). I think several guys would hold their own, and that's against one of the best drivers the game has seen.
BTW, Bryson sits at 59.79%, which is only (.681-.5979)*18 = 1.4958 fairways fewer per round… at nearly 50 yards more distance.
So, that's fine Ben, and thank you for answering my question. You likely think I'm over-rating the skill and talent of the game's current crop of players, just as I think you're under-rating them. I appreciate that you answered my question(s).