I'd be surprised if the USGA erred too much on the side of caution, with regard to firm and fast. #2 was pretty firm and fast last year, and it may or may not be well known, but they were having some serious problems shortly before the Open. I haven't seen the USGA opt at all for TV green. If you watch the old broadcasts, US Open courses are routinely brown and baked out.
Is Winged Foot one of the only 36 hole complexes that does not ever use a composite course for major tournaments? I guess Olympic has 18 as well, yet they only use one for the Open. A true testament to the strength of each.
George:
I think it is very premature to predict whether Mike Davis will be "more cautious" than Tom Meeks, who he is replacing. In fact, I think it is a little bit wacky to inferentially suggest that Meeks was incautious in his setup of various US Opens.
In my judgment, and based on my limited experience, the USGA staff does a very conscientious job of attempting to walk a razor-thin line between very demanding conditions and borderline unplayable conditions. They really try to push the envelope. Sometimes it comes out perfect in retrospect (Bethpage, Pinehurst) and sometimes they have major issues (Olympic, Shinnecock). They are always dealing with weather, a huge element that they obviously can't control.
We have to remember that the USGA is generally looking for a much more demanding setup than the PGA tour. In order to do that, they typically let the rough grow, which isn't all that difficult to do, and they want the greens to get within a hair's breath of dying, which is very difficult to do. If they don't get any rain, they can get closer to their goal on the greens, but if the wind and sun are hyperactive, the greens can turn bad, as they did at Shinny.
At my club, Olympia Fields, the week leading up to the championship was wet. The greens were velcro-sticky for the first two days and the pros took dead aim. Everybody bitched and moaned that the golf course wasn't worthy or that the set up was too soft. And maybe it was, but if it was, much of the softness was beyond their control. As it developed, the sun came out and the wind shifted and the golf course got fast and firm and only four players shot par or better.
So, I think Mike Davis and his crew will push the course to its limits. If they sense they are in trouble, they might water greens overnight, but I think you can count on a very crunchy crispy golf course and only a half dozen or so players under par.