"If you were caddying for one of those guys and the ground was as firm as early in the week, is there a reason to play #2 very conservativly while still being the best way to make a 4?"
Sully:
Even if I could hit the ball like they do and you do I would probably encourage them to play that hole conservatively and for position on the second shot. I've just always been and thought conservatively that way strategically and just about totally because I really never had the choice;
but if I were caddying or coaching I think I would just explain what I thought the likely outcomes might be with either side of that strategic spectrum (to go or play for position) and just let them decide for themselves the reward and risk ramifications they might have to deal with.
However, if the pin was left of center on that green as opposed to right of center I believe I would insist a lot more that they play conservatively and for position (if a player missed a left of center pin on the left side of that green I would think a par would be what he would and should expect just because there's not enough green to work with and given the way that green is on the left). Maybe it would be similar missing right to a right pin but something tells me that wouldn't be quite so bad. But then one always needs to consider the risk of playing a pretty long layup second into the ideal position for a left center pin third shot----eg OB is definitely not that far from the ideal right side layup spot to a left of center pin.
But just to give you a good example of how strategically different the options were with the course after the rain, I note Gavin Dear's third shot on Sunday. He was coming in from the right side to a mid-right side pin and he just sent the ball about 30 feet over the pin and sucked it all the way back hole high to about 5-6 ft and birdied it. Of course that shot would not have been remotely possible before the Friday rain came!