thx Mike, very interesting.
this quote stands out for me:
"The situation at the time was wholesale member resignations, the decline of the price at which memberships could be sold, a large debt burden for the new facilities and an absolutely new property begging for its grow-in period."
I will be interested to see what happens with old-line non-real estate clubs in the NYC metropolitan region. what with AIG, LEH, BSC, Citi down 94% from the highs, Madoff, widespread Wall St. layoffs and the stock market drop (etc...), extraordinary amounts of wealth in the region have been vaporized.
I will not be surprised to see waiting lists drop to basically zero for all but a handful of clubs. in turn, I wonder if clubs will have to start discounting membership initiation fees, or even eliminating them, in order to attract new members. I suspect many clubs will have to consider admitting new members with $0 initiation as long as they are willing to start paying dues immediately -- either this or face a monthly financing gap that will have to be filled with higher dues for current members and/or an ever increasing debt load pinned on the hopes for better times. and this is what I fear that some of the older clubs with established facilities will face...heaven help the newer clubs with big construction debts.
a question for everyone:
faced with a monthly deficit and rough economic times for the forseeable future would you vote to:
a) admit new applicants at a discount (or for free) as long as they start paying dues right away?
b) increase dues for current members and/or increase debt to fund the gap?
PS...I understand that the 'discount/free' option may not seem fair to those who have recently paid the initiation fee -- but there is s funding gap -- how do you fill it? (a) or (b)?