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Tommy Williamsen

  • Karma: +0/-0
Winning score at the US Open
« on: June 14, 2023, 12:29:57 PM »
There is no history of TOUR players at LACC, so we have no history informing our guesses. I am going to guess that even par will win. There are just too many loonng holes with intricate greens.
Where there is no love, put love; there you will find love.
St. John of the Cross

"Deep within your soul-space is a magnificent cathedral where you are sweet beyond telling." Rumi

Patrick Collins

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2023, 12:31:26 PM »
I'll go -6

Bruce Katona

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2023, 12:40:26 PM »
In the golf pool I'm in the tie breaker is winning score.  Since the Association governing this event has been known "to protect par", I took -2 as the tiebreaker.  I'm sticking with that choice.

Mark_Fine

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2023, 12:45:16 PM »
12 under

Kalen Braley

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2023, 01:19:22 PM »
With the distance they can stretch those par 4s and 3s, combined with basically being at Sea Level in the thick-ish coastal air...

I could see even par winning if they decided to keep most holes tipped out all 4 rounds.

Max Prokopy

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2023, 01:57:34 PM »
-4 would be my guess

Sean_A

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2023, 02:24:19 PM »
New plays planned for 2025: Ludlow, Machrihanish Dunes, Dunaverty and Carradale

PCCraig

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2023, 03:16:52 PM »
I'll say -16 but I'm not sure it really matters.
H.P.S.

Alex Miller

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2023, 03:29:39 PM »
It's firming up out here. Would have thought double digits last week easily but now... -7

Tommy Williamsen

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2023, 03:41:21 PM »
12 under


Thats my guess.


Ciao


Wow! That's a bold prediction. Those guys are really good, -12 seems to be pushing it.
Where there is no love, put love; there you will find love.
St. John of the Cross

"Deep within your soul-space is a magnificent cathedral where you are sweet beyond telling." Rumi

Tom Birkert

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2023, 05:14:53 PM »
-9 for me (though I hope I'm wrong and it's +4, I just can't see it).

Tim Martin

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2023, 05:41:34 PM »
-7 which is a shot lower than Matt Fitzpatrick at TCC in 2022.

Joe_Tucholski

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #12 on: June 14, 2023, 06:56:57 PM »
With the distance they can stretch those par 4s and 3s, combined with basically being at Sea Level in the thick-ish coastal air...

I could see even par winning if they decided to keep most holes tipped out all 4 rounds.


Wasn't Erin Hills the longest course the US Open has been played on...also ended up being the lowest score to par at -16.


Went to the Pac-12's where Homa shot 61.  Don't think we'll see a new course record but I'm in the double digit under par group at -10.

Tal Oz

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #13 on: June 14, 2023, 07:22:22 PM »
Having spent a few days on site now, I think -10 wins it. The course is firming up nicely.

Sean_A

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #14 on: June 14, 2023, 07:22:45 PM »
12 under


Thats my guess.


Ciao


Wow! That's a bold prediction. Those guys are really good, -12 seems to be pushing it.

Three par 5s.

Ciao
New plays planned for 2025: Ludlow, Machrihanish Dunes, Dunaverty and Carradale

MLevesque

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #15 on: June 14, 2023, 07:34:26 PM »
-10.  I feel someone will figure out LACC North, get hot and separate from the field.
I am Skew!

Pete Lavallee

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #16 on: June 14, 2023, 07:41:23 PM »
Very unusual for So. Cal.; Bermuda fairways and Pure Distinction bent grass greens. I doubt you will see much of the So. Cal.  players will have an advantage.
"...one inoculated with the virus must swing a golf-club or perish."  Robert Hunter

Joe_Tucholski

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #17 on: June 14, 2023, 07:56:37 PM »
Very unusual for So. Cal.; Bermuda fairways and Pure Distinction bent grass greens. I doubt you will see much of the So. Cal.  players will have an advantage.


I was watching the Max Homa interview yesterday where he was asked about a local advantage and he talked about poa in the greens, saying there are a number of players that hate poa.

Craig Sweet

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #18 on: June 14, 2023, 09:01:19 PM »
Minus 8 sounds right....And Rory for the win


Tim Leahy

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2023, 09:42:24 PM »
Love to see even par but these guys are good. -12 8)
I love golf, the fightin irish, and beautiful women depending on the season and availability.

Pat Burke

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2023, 09:54:49 PM »
Lots of room of many tees
Tee shots rolling a bit


I believe there will be enough guys that can bomb it to have someone get to -14


Unless
Crazy hole locations
Wind

Matthew Rose

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #21 on: June 15, 2023, 12:55:25 AM »
-8
American-Australian. Trackman Course Guy. Fatalistic sports fan. Drummer. Bass player. Father. Cat lover.

Adrian_Stiff

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #22 on: June 15, 2023, 06:56:08 AM »
274 strokes so 6 under.
A combination of whats good for golf and good for turf.
The Players Club, Cumberwell Park, The Kendleshire, Oake Manor, Dainton Park, Forest Hills, Erlestoke, St Cleres.
www.theplayersgolfclub.com

Jim Franklin

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #23 on: June 15, 2023, 09:13:43 AM »
Winning score will be the lowest score in relation to par.
































































































I'm going with -11
Mr Hurricane

Wayne_Kozun

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: Winning score at the US Open
« Reply #24 on: June 15, 2023, 04:18:20 PM »
It is looking like they are going lower than what was predicted here.  Leader after Round 1 is going to be -8 or lower.  Winning score should then be what - about -15?  Maybe we will see Rory's low score of 268 broken - that would take lower than -12 as it is par 70/280.  And Rickie just broke Johnny Miller's record of 63.
« Last Edit: June 15, 2023, 04:22:14 PM by Wayne_Kozun »