Tim,
Could you extend those lines all the way to the tree left of the green, because that tree is the aiming point and ball hit at the tree, without a draw, end up in the right rough.
That gives you some idea as to how much the fairway slopes from high left to low right.
thanks
Preview is limited, but I did my best to model where a number of tee shots hit on certain lines discussed in this thread will end up on this hole, approximately. All four of the shots depicted end up about 230-240 yards from the back of the tee box from which they originate. That also appears to be the widest part of the fairway, at approximately 40 yards. The curvature of those lines is supposed to depict the way in which tee shots kick and roll to the right on the fairway.
Patrick, I intended the light blue path to be reflective of your most recent tee shot on the hole. I regretfully couldn't get the line to curve twice (in order to show the right-handed draw you hit). The black path is supposed to be a straightish shot that starts at or right of the tall tree, and the yellow one is a miss to the right.
The path in white is the one I would prescribe, and it starts at the right edge of the bunker, rather than at the tall tree (where the parallel red lines end). The more I look at the photo from the tee, the more my eye is drawn to that line, rather than the tall tree. The way the fairway curves around that bunker suggests that there's promised land there. Looking at the tall tree, I feel apprehensive that if I miss right of there, I'm going to run out of fairway (which we have seen is very true). But when I look at the bunker, I have the feeling that if I blast the ball over it, I should be alright, even if I miss a little left. And indeed, if you were to extend that white line straight, you'd have some extra room left to the left edge of the fairway.
Patrick, were it up to you, how many yards of fairway on the right would you reclaim? Would you compensate for it by removing some of the left-hand fairway?