It seems that the thread is moving to isolate various components of the problems we see... on the economics end, here's part of the problem:
1) Developers / Club Founders have to pay enormous sums for any quality land near a population base. Sure you can buy in North Dakota or Nebraska... but that's not always economically viable.
Real Estate prices here in the US have skyrocketed, so the raw material, land, is also a precious commodity. Not only would a club have to purchase the land, thus generating sufficient cash flow for paying the 30 year mortgage, but also needs to generate funds neccesary to service the taxes on the high-priced land.
2) Do build a good, or better course, that the GCA folks would approve (or disapprove at their leisure) of, a reliable golf architect needs to be found. Between the engineering studies, design consults, etc... the cost of building of a course today has skyrocketed. I imagine that any Architect worth their salt will cost at least $250K for a project with Fazio, Rees Jones, Nicklaus, Palmer, etc... going for $500k+ (please add info here as known)
At this point in the equation... we're talking $2.5MM for the land and a modest clubhouse, $1.5 MM at a minimum to design and build the course and let's say $1.35MM ($75K per hole) per year to maintain a firm and brown course with less maintenance than the "augusta" styled conditions. Also, club staff, etc...will run approx. $500K per year (very modest staff - no rangers, etc..)
As a result, a club needs to generate $1.85MM in cash flow a year to pay for maintenance, plus $400K plus a year to service debt - a total of $2.25MM a year.
So... doing the math... if the course is public:
at $50 per round: needs to sell 45,000 rounds to break-even
If the course were private, each member (assume 300) needs to ante up $7,500 in fees a year to break-even. (could be a combination of dues + interest from initiation fees)
If the course were semi-private, and assuming the members (300) made 50% of the tee-times available to the public (let's say that rounds go down to 40K), then:
- Public contribution ($50 per round) = $1MM
- Private contrib = $1.25MM = $4,160 per member.
So... to wrap this up... if my numbers are anywhere near accurate... the debt servicing on the land doesn't break a club's back. Its the cost of maintaining a course, capital expenditures to maintain the physical plant (clubhouse, lockers, restaurant, pro-shop) and the people neccesary to staff the club operations and amenties.
I don't think we're far off here at GCA:
1) we propose courses in their more natural state = lower maintenance costs
2) who needs mansions for a clubhouse? Set up a trailer or small building with a small bar run by a consessionaire, a small locker with showers and a basic pro-shop so the Club Pro (if neccesary) can ply his trade. The less amenties for feeling like a millionaire, the lower the member or greens fees to break-even.
3) Open up the courses! Folks... in my equation, if you open up 1/2 your tee times to the public, your member outlay can be decreased at least 30% if not more! WIth strict dress code, ettiquite requiirements and the threat of never being allowed on premisis, your GUESTS / VISITORS may actually treat the club as well as the members! I can't mention how many times in Scotland that I was warmly welcomed by club members.