Jamie,
You wrote:
[Phil,
I would have to argue that there is a big difference between carry and driving distance. A 251 yard carry probably translates into a 280-290 yard drive presuming reasonable roll. I noticed Mickelson only carrying the 10th fairway by maybe 12 yards, that's not very much for a big hitter.]
I think you missed my point of driving distance analysis for #10. I am in TOTAL agreement with you that a 251 yard carry translates into a much farther length drive. The facts show that the majority of players who did not hit their drives into the 10th fairway from the tee did so because they missed left or right, not short or long. Think about it for a second, how much "roll" do you think the balls that neded up in the rough had after landing? The answer is very little for some and almost none for most.
That is why the driving distance statistics are so important when considered along with driving accuracy. Those who are more accurate usually end up longer as well. The fact that less than 10% of all drives on #10 struck by those 72 players who played all four days did not reach the fairway based on distance, shows that accuracy rather than distance was the more important factor there.
You also wrote:
[Someone has to explain to me the new tee idea for the 18th.]
Rgardless of what plans Rees Jones may or may not have been carrying with him this past Thursday when he visited the site when the awarding of the Open was announced, I've not heard of any mention of a "new tee idea" other than what's been written on this venue. And you are correct in your view of the suggestion of putting the tee back by the fifth of the Red. The person who posted that probably meant the 4th on the red and said the 5th by mistake.
You also wrote:
[I think the only teeing options would be for a tee near the 1st green of the red, but then you get very close to the 4th green of the red. I've also heard a radical plan to put a tee next to the 17th tee/1st green, but that would create a lot of congestion in that spot.]
Doing this would actually shorten the hole (based upon the Open tee) and therefor wouldn't work. Also, I will take full responsibility and claim that it was & is MY IDEA to put the 18th tee down between the existing 17th tee and green. By doing this a much longer hole could be made with it now playing totally uphill as a very loing dogleg par 4. I actually brought this up in my interview with Rees Jones back before the Open asking him if he had ever thought of it. He said it never occurred to him and that it was an interesting idea (as far as interesting goes, he may have been knidly humoring me). Anyway. with the 18th tee down there you would then have to build a new tee for #17 & I also suggested that this be placed between the 16th green and the fifth tee of the Red course. The hole could be as far as you wanted to make it then (the current distance is fixed due to Round Swamp Road being directly behind it. Now the green would be played as a long & narrow true two-tiered, rather than a wide and shallow two section green. All of the bunkers could remain as they are and would come into play in similar fashion. Anyway, that was my thinking for what it's worth.
Finally, you wrote:
[Again, I think they need to think more about green placement, than tee placement. Move the green almost to the tee of the 1st of the red. Move the tee for the 1st of the red to the left, closer to the 18th green of red. I think that would create a 450ish, very challenging closing hole. Intrestingly, you could then move the 1st tee of the black to the left, but that may be too much tinkering.]
It's an interesting thought with some merit. I don't think it would be considered because the average public slicer, I mean, player would create a lot of problems back and forth between the two courses.
In any event, I can't wait until 2009!