Would you agree that on the sliding scale of difficult 3's, plugged in the face of a bunker would be high on the list? Of the infinite other possible outcomes for Mr K's drive on that hole, how far down the difficulty list would you have to go before you playing for 3 is dictated to you? I bet not very far. If he misses the green in a tough but not impossible spot you have to make 3 to win or tie. If he lays up you have to make 3 to win or tie. Very few outcomes of his drive will change what result you need, at least when viewed after only one shot.