Yes, there are two architectural universes right now. One of these will prevail and I'm not sure it will be the good guys.
Take the Atlanta Athletic Club. There is nothing architecturally interesting about the ACC. It is enormously long, penal and unimaginative. As set up for the PGA, no one I know would want to play it. Even for the novelty. It's just too brutal.
On the other hand, it made for an exciting PGA last year. As long and as straight as today's best players hit it, a 500 yard par 4 with an island green - like no. 18 at ACC – may be the only kind of hole that will stand up to the game they play.
Unlike so many other pro venues, the PGA at the ACC did not devolve into a PW/putting contest. It was about hitting full shots to impossibly difficult greens from improbable distances.
Unfortunately, it made for great drama.
That's troubling. I fear that courses like the Walhala, Torrey Pines, Whistling Straights, The Ocean Course and the ACC are the future. These kinds of courses will host majors in this decade and have a big impact on how new courses are built and modified in the next couple of decades. They are the courses people will see on TV.
If you think my fears are exaggerated, we have an unhappy precedent. When RTJ created his "monster" courses for the USGA in the 50's and 60's, those types of courses became a standard for good design for years.
The ideal for new courses was that they be big, hard and resistant to scoring. End of design questions. More than any other single factor (imho), the "monster" course model ushered in the Dark Ages of gca.
It took golf course architecture about 40 years to recover from the "monster" model. Maybe it never really did. In any event, the ACC and its brethren are 21st century poster children for the revival of the old "monster" course concept.
Getting back to Mike's point, these "new" venues have nothing to do with classic, golden age courses. They don't even have the benefit of having once been Golden Age courses. At least RTJ and others worked from (Oak Hill, Oakland Hills, Merion, TCC, Congressional, etc.) Golden Age templates. The new monster courses were designed after the Golden Age and they don't have even a nodding acquaintance with the kinds of architectural concerns most of us care about. From the get-go they were designed around the concept of defending par against players who hit seven irons 200 yards.
Necessarily these courses will host the vast majority of major tournaments in the near future. The public focus this brings seems to me to be a bad thing. It means that the new designs that get the most publicity, that host the most majors in the future - thus shape popular perceptions about good design - are going to be those courses that have less and less connection with Golden Age design principles.
It's not enough to dismiss these kinds of courses as just "major tournament" venues. As freaks. People with the money and clout to built the best new courses will see them as models. These courses will have a powerful and pernicious influence on the kinds of courses that are built in the future. My guess is that they are already having that kind of influence.
There is a split in golf course architecture. We'll see where our modern architect heroes with Golden Age sensibilities end up in the pecking order. I worry that - as much as we love their work – we will not see it much on TV. And that does not bode well for its future.
Bob