Tom, I take Jim Vernon's statement as "company policy" Especially when combined with the following from Dick Rugge:
The joint Statement of Principles governing equipment rules that we formulated with the R&A in 2002 makes clear that we are concerned about increases in distance from any source and we'll continue to remain vigilant and monitor trends," Rugge continued. "If distance continues to increase from any source - balls, clubs, agronomy, or enhanced physical fitness - then we'll need to consider how to uphold the Statement of Principles."
I took that directly from the USGA website.
Michael, the Initial Velocity Test has had a maximum velocity of 250 feet per second (+2% tolerance) since it was first put in place in 1942. That hasn't changed. The test hasn't changed (other than using more modern equipment). But, if a player swings faster than the machine, it is logical that he will have a higher velocity, no suprise there.
I remember watching Peter Jacobsen in a test machine swinging so hard he almost fell down in order to get the club going 110 back in the late 1980s. Now guys are routinely swinging at 120 or more. They are stronger,the shafts are longer and they have less fear of swinging hard. All of that is true. Still, to say that the ball suddenly gets supercharged at higher swing speeds seems illogical to me. Funny how increasing from 109 to 120 allowed them to tighten the specs if this was true. Why didn't the change cause the USGA to see this? No ball suddenly went further, causing it to be non-conforming.
If it was true, why is the delta between the longest hitters and the shorter ones on the PGA tour not getting greater? I checked and the 170th longest hitter on tour hit it 92% as far as the 10th longest last year. In 1980, he only hit it 90% as far. The short hitters are actually getting closer to the long hitters. I checked 1984 (no 170 in 1985), 1990, 1995 and 2000 and the change in difference has been fairly linear over that period. They aren't all going over 120 and getting that extra boost are they?
I have to agree with Deane Beman that the biggest problem is not how far the ball goes, but how straight it goes. I know that the PGA Tour Staff has said that is the biggest change they have noticed. It is a lot more unusual for a player to hit it outside the ropes than it used to be. Because of that, they are swinging harder. Make the ball curve more and it would help. But, I'm not sure how to do that.
Lou, you asked what I would do. Part of me would see them roll the ball back once they have the understanding of what is going on. They are working hard to get that understanding so that they will be prepared for more increases. I'm not going to say how much it should be rolled back because I don't have the knowledge. But, part of me sees the average joe who might or might not be hitting if farther today than he was and I don't want him getting the impression that the USGA is taking something away from him, even if they aren't. That won't do the game any good. This means that there needs to be a way to explain it to the average golfer and I've yet to be convinced that anyone here can do that. So, until then I'm not in favor of rolling the ball back unless "significant" increases continue to occur.