Glenn,
My point is not about the accuracy of the information. As far as I'm concerned, the guy could claim whenever he wanted to that Whitsett was likely to make match play.
If we're going to debate it as a matter of fact, though, I would say that Whitsett was "likely" to make match play in all of the situations you just mentioned. (Do you think he'd play those last 4 holes in more than +2 the majority of the time? I don't....)
Your statement was that it "Seems unnecessary for a 15-year old to have to read this last night or this morning before he finishes up."
I disagree with this statement very much.
"Unnecessary" implies that it's too much for the player to handle. However, even without the article, he certainly knew he was likely to match play if he could just keep it together. The article told him exactly what he already knew, and nothing more.
"15-year old": implies that his youth renders him less able to deal with pressure. Maybe or maybe not, but this is a national championship, and its competitors should not be treated with kid gloves. The night before the second round of stroke play, the USGA published an article about Randy Haag overcoming the yips, and asked him about his chances of making match play. Randy is 48. Does that make it different?
"Have to": Have to? I doubt he even read the article in the first place. And if he did, wouldn't he have done so assuming he'd see his own name, given that he's a reigning USGA champion and that he played exceptionally well during the first round?
You imply that this article somehow caused Whitsett to collapse and miss match play. That is the part that I find ridiculous. How can a factual sentence that restates already-known information cause a national champion golfer to make a triple bogey? It can't!
If Whitsett was nervous and collapsed, frankly, that's his own fault. However I do feel badly for him because it's a nightmare kind of scenario.
Finally, I don't understand what standards you think we should set for covering this sort of event. Should we only write about events after they happen? Should we completely eliminate tournament previews, the annointing of "favorites", and all potentially forward-looking statements about a player's possible success down the road?
Or only for 15-year-old's?
Respectfully,
Matt