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Tom_Doak

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The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« on: April 05, 2005, 10:19:39 AM »
Now, I do not really believe there is a precise formula that can be used.  What stands out about the greatest of courses is how different they are from one another ... how they take some aspect of golf architecture and raise it to a new level not contemplated by other courses.

But it's clear that GOLF DIGEST is bound to stay with its system, and its inherent flaw is to assume that all its categories should be weighted equally [except Shot Values, which are doubly important, whatever they are].

What I would like to see is for everyone here to try and define what the criteria should be, and to assign weights to the relative importance of each.  You can start with the current GOLF DIGEST or GOLFWEEK criteria if you want, or you can make up your own ... though try to make it a short list, please!

While you get started, I'm going to go look up Charles Blair Macdonald's criteria and post them.

Tom_Doak

  • Total Karma: 10
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2005, 10:26:57 AM »
Here's CB:  from GOLF ILLUSTRATED, February 1, 1907:

In discussing and comparing the merits of various courses, one is struck immediately with the futility of argument unless some basis of excellence is agreed upon -- premises on which to anchor.  In view of this, I have tried to enumerate all the essential features of a perfect golf course in accordance with the enlightened criticism of to-day, and to give each of these essential characteristics a value, the sum total of which would be 100, or perfection.  Following is the result:

Nature of the soil - 18 points
Perfection in undulation and hillocks - 15 points
Putting greens - quality of turf - 10 points
Putting greens - nature of undulation - 5 points
Putting greens - variety - 3 points
Nature, size and variety of bunkers and other hazards - 7 points
Proper placing of bunkers and other hazards - 11 points
Best length of holes - 12 points
Variety and arrangement of length - 6 points
Quality of turf of fair green - 8 points
Width of fair green of the course, 45 to 60 yards - 3 points
Nature of teeing grounds and proximity to putting greens - 2 points

That's a pretty interesting start, and it doesn't look anything at all like the two ranking systems at the magazines.

Robert Thompson

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2005, 10:36:03 AM »
Tom: It is an interesting point, but I think many of Macdonald's points are as arbitrary as the ones GD uses. I mean, "Nature of Soil?" Come on. Seems to me he was also judging conditioning ("quality of turf"), which is one of those factors that gets the folks on this site all worked up. But "width of fair green?" Maybe the best comparision these days would be "over treed."
That said, I think "Proper placing of bunkers and other hazards" is interesting, as is "Variety and arrangement of length."

But doesn't Macdonald's criteria simply prove there is no proper way to determine the factors that are used to judge a great golf course? I used to think Golf magazine's lack of criteria hurt it, but now I'm not so sure....
Terrorizing Toronto Since 1997

Read me at Canadiangolfer.com

A_Clay_Man

Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2005, 10:37:53 AM »
JC had what I thought was an interesting way to weight the votes. First time visit to a course, the vote is weighted @ 25%. With each subsequent visit adding another 25%. Seems like this would go along way in removing the flavor of the day phenomenon.

Jonathan McCord

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2005, 10:40:54 AM »
This is a mix of MacDonald's and Mackenzie's "IDEALS"  Not sure exactly how to score the following, but these are preliminary.  This should get things going.

I ask "Does the course"

1. Appeal to different levels of golfer?
2. Have variety in Greens, size, undulation, width, length, etc?
3. Character in its Bunkers?
4. Have a Good Routing, minimize distances between holes, flow with the land, use the best features the land presents?
5. Have PROPER PLACEMENT of above features and various other hazards?
6. Present a "Walk in the Park?" From Golfweek

An interesting question to ask as well, "How does the course presently compare to the architects original design.  Has the course been modified for the better or for worse.  Does it have that TIMELESS quality?
"Read it, Roll it, Hole it."

Tom_Doak

  • Total Karma: 10
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2005, 10:43:39 AM »
Robert:

Macdonald was writing in 1907, when turf standards were not exactly the same as today, and I think he was emphasizing that we needed to have higher standards there if we were going to have courses considered on par with the best in the UK and Ireland.

Likewise "width of fair green" could be translated into "test of driving" ... if you had 20-yard fairways Macdonald thought you were too focused on driving accuracy, if you had 80-yard fairways he thought you weren't focused enough.

And those 18 points for soils are probably reflected in today's rankings ... most of the best courses are on sand, while poor drainage should almost eliminate a course from consideration, don't you think?

My own criteria would be different, but don't pooh-pooh Mr. Macdonald ... he probably had a better grounding in what made a great golf course than anyone in this silly forum.

P.S.  I love this thread already; lots of good ideas.  The only problem is that a lot of people say the same thing with different words ... in a couple of days we should edit the suggestions down to a few simpler words and then have people vote on the relative weight of each.
« Last Edit: April 05, 2005, 10:47:05 AM by Tom_Doak »

Jonathan Cummings

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2005, 10:52:47 AM »
Adam - the problem with employing weights for revisits is that it is a great idea but simply impractical  All panels establish their lists on probably 80% one-time visits.  I know that of the 820 courses I've seen, probably 700 I've seen and played only once.  I'll but the same is true with Brad, Tom, Bobby Fagan, you, etc.

Tom - here is a list of categories that we proposed in a poll at the Essex gathering.  Each participant was asked to give a 1-to-10 on how meaninging and measureable these categories to their evaluation of a golf course.  I averaged the results and ranked them.  I computed weightings (based on the product of the meaningful and measureable averages) to the ten highest scoring categories and used them to perform a sample rankings.

I think I am going to open this to the GCA folks and see if there is any interest in expanding the poll.    

(sorry for the poor pagination - Word tables don't translate well to quasi-html scripting used by YaBB SE.

JC

Rank   Proposed Category   Meaningful   Measurable   Sum
            
1   Interest of Greens & Chipping   8.8   8.1   16.9
2   Memorability   8.6   7.9   16.5
3   Variety/Mem of Par 5s   8.4   7.6   16.0
4   Invasion Factor   7.6   8.3   15.9
5   Design Balance   8.4   7.4   15.8
6   Variety/Mem of Par 4s   8.2   7.5   15.8
7   Variety/Mem of Par 3s   8.3   7.5   15.8
8   Fun   8.6   7.0   15.5
9   Richness/Variety of Problems   7.8   7.6   15.4
10   Lack of Distractions   7.5   7.6   15.1
11   Beauty   7.5   7.3   14.8
12   Shot Value   7.9   6.8   14.7
13   Options (1[few] - 10[many])   7.5   7.0   14.5
14   Playability   7.6   7.0   14.5
15   Integration with Surrounding   7.5   7.0   14.5
16   Conditioning   7.0   7.4   14.5
17   Natural Setting/Land Plan   7.5   6.6   14.1
18   Quality of Shaping   7.1   7.0   14.1
19   Esthetics   7.5   6.5   14.0
20   Resistance to Scoring   6.4   7.5   13.9
21   Walking   5.5   8.2   13.7
22   Integrity of Original Design   7.3   6.2   13.4
23   Ease & Intimacy of Routing   7.0   6.5   13.4
24   Landscape/Tree Management   6.4   6.7   13.1
25   Variations in Stance   6.0   7.0   13.0
26   Sense of Theme   6.7   5.9   12.6
27   Lack of Blindness   4.7   7.9   12.6
28   Fairness   5.9   6.3   12.2
29   Tradition   5.9   6.0   11.9
30   History   5.8   5.9   11.8
31   Ball Striking   4.2   7.0   11.2
32   Walk in the Park   5.2   5.3   10.5

Jonathan McCord

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2005, 10:54:09 AM »
   C.B. MacDonald's formula is got to be the best formula, I've seen.  Now these are course ratings, not clubhouse, service, or overall experience ratings.  Heck, sometimes I find myself looking down upon a course after I don't play well.  This could also happen to raters? Couldn't it?  :P

    I think if raters were to employ MacDonald's rating system, courses could be rated much more accurately and you would truly see the good COURSES, not nessesarily facilities, rise to the top.
"Read it, Roll it, Hole it."

Robert Thompson

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2005, 10:56:53 AM »
Tom -- I've read Macdonald's book and understand the historical period in which he was writing.
That said, he comments on fairway width would have clearly hurt the likes of TOC, which he used so liberally in his own designs, wouldn't it?
Tom, I'm not trying to rip Macdonald -- just to point out that some of his concepts were more applicable to 1910 than they are to current conditions. Courses changed a lot since then and it seems to me the criteria to judge them should as well.

Jonathan: What a list of categories. I find that fillling out the Golf Digest categories takes some time, if you really give it some thought. Apparently this one would take hours....
Terrorizing Toronto Since 1997

Read me at Canadiangolfer.com

Mike Nuzzo

  • Total Karma: 5
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2005, 10:59:09 AM »
Mike N:

You really want to give esthetics just two-tenths of a point to a full point for test of golf?  If so, Carnoustie and Medinah and Butler National are going to rate above Cypress Point.

But I like your idea ... or is it Jon's ... the inherent problem with the ratings is assuming that the various categories should be weighted equally.  I'll start a new thread on that.

I think yes, as cypress would hammer Medinah and Butler on the variety point.

If I were to rate on variety, I would consider setting, greens, fairways, distances all to make up my perfect 1.0.

Personally I would want to weight the Variety more, but I'm biased.  I would say many of your components are part of the variety point.

From the other thread:
I'll go with fewer catagories to start:
Shot values and resistance to scoring get's the lion's share of the points.

So I'll go with 2.5 catagories:

Test = 1 (think shinecock)
Variety = 1 (think NGLA)
Walking = .1
Conditioning = .2
aesthetics = .2

The cats will value Gib's bias equally - should it be a test or a game.  If it appeals to both, like pine valley, it will reign supreme.

Thinking of Bob, Rihc, Bill, George, Neil, Dr. Childs, & Tiger.

Matt_Ward

Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2005, 11:03:39 AM »
Tom D:

Hate to say this but you missed the point on what is really needed ... it's not the criteria because in all likelihood most people would come together on what are the main criteria for discussion.

The issue is what kind of person is capable in doing what you seek -- that is -- to identify the best courses in the various states in the USA.

Once a publication goes down the sorry road in having a gigantic ratings panel you inevitably have issues ...

Does the rater really travel THAT often to even be considered a NATIONAL rater? Frankly, few do. Most should be no more than at the regional or state level.

Tom, I've been doing ratings for quite a few number of years. A number of fellow raters I have met on my many forays throughout the countryside -- whether they be from Digest, GW or Golf Mag -- are quite competent to make such judgements. But more diligence needs to take place in terms of who makes the call on courses -- adding more and more people only produces a "yellow pages" directory of information and flies in the face of what is really noteworthy for inclusion at the highest of levels.

The issue you seem to dismiss is that Digest is the one that needs to be approached to change not only the methodology but the nature of what constitutues a "panelist" for their publication. Digest needs to understand that simply putting out a bi-ennial listing that has little credibility only serves to undercut their self-proclaimed position as the golf publication of RECORD.

What's really funny is that until the publication admits its own shortcomings the nature of what comes forward will never really be improved IMHO.

Mike Nuzzo

  • Total Karma: 5
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #11 on: April 05, 2005, 11:04:15 AM »
Tom,
As for the soils....
Is Oakmont worse because it was built on clay?
Thinking of Bob, Rihc, Bill, George, Neil, Dr. Childs, & Tiger.

A_Clay_Man

Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #12 on: April 05, 2005, 11:04:39 AM »
JC- With results that have the volatility of a Toronto Stock Exchange penny stock, impractical is passing off the list as something a bank would actually finance, or re-finance a project on.

While everyone values their own opinion, why would anyone have a problem having their vote only count for 1/4, until your next visit? And if you never visit again, doesn't that state volumes?




Mike Nuzzo

  • Total Karma: 5
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #13 on: April 05, 2005, 11:06:23 AM »
Hate to say this but you missed the point on what is really needed ...
Matt
You're inputs would have more value if instead of putting the other ideas down, you just expressed your opinions and compared the two.
Cheers
Thinking of Bob, Rihc, Bill, George, Neil, Dr. Childs, & Tiger.

Tom_Doak

  • Total Karma: 10
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #14 on: April 05, 2005, 11:13:21 AM »
Matt:

Start another thread about who ought to be on the panel, or not, if you want.  You'll find there is not much agreement on that subject either ... everybody likes their own opinion best.  GOLF Magazine used to have the best-balanced panel, with a mixture of everyone in the golf business from Tour pros to photographers to people like Ran, but now even I don't know who half their panel is [though that still probably gives them more stature than GOLF DIGEST or GOLFWEEK].
« Last Edit: April 05, 2005, 11:15:49 AM by Tom_Doak »

Matt_Ward

Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #15 on: April 05, 2005, 11:23:47 AM »
Mike Nuzzo:

I have not put the other ideas "down" -- I simply opined that even with universally accepted criteria it still boils down to who makes the call on what courses are chosen.

The "formula" is really about the panelist -- not the criteria.

I can work off just about any type of agreed criteria and still come to the conclusion that courses such as Black Mesa, The Kingsley Club, and Wild Horse, to name just three, would be mentioned as superior courses.

Tom D:

Sorry to say partner but you and I split company here. I firmly believe that if any of the publications knocked down their respective panels to 50-100 top people who constantly travel and see the courses in question you would get a far better result than the "yellow pages" variety you see today.

All of the respective panels have their share of solid reviewers -- I know many of them and even in disagreement respect their opinion because of the heavy lifting they consistently provide. The issue becomes one of quality control. Most people neither travel thaaaaat frequently -- nor do they have the access and insights needed from playing regularly. A "window shopper rater" doesn't see much more than what is portrayed from their standing location on the city street. I would think Digest would know that. Forgive me for my error.


Jason Topp

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #16 on: April 05, 2005, 11:35:24 AM »
My criteria would be - "What is the best course."  

Scoring should be done on the Doak scale.

Raters should be required to play the course three times at different times of year and to play a sufficient number of courses to have a valid basis for comparison.  Thus, ratings should be made over a three year period.

George Pazin

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #17 on: April 05, 2005, 11:46:13 AM »
As much as it strains credulity, I think I have to agree with Matt!! :)

I think in something as inherently subjective as golf course ranking, who is doing the ranking matters more than the criteria for the simple reason that the ranker is likely to adjust his rankings to fit the criteria (which is another way of saying what Matt said about BM, WH, Kingsley, etc.

Mackenzie relates a story of an attempt by someone to objectively analyze the best courses using a mathematical formula in The Spirit of St Andrews. The only problem was, the result ended up completely backwards, as seen by him. I think he had more of a problem with the interpretation of the criteria than the actual criteria itself.

-----

Some time ago in another past life, I used to judge local band competitions, which would attempt to discern the best rock group in Pittsburgh. One thing I did differently then virtually all the other judges was to only do a preliminary ranking under the criteria, and then adjust it as the other bands played. This only seemed right, to me, as I couldn't really say how good one band is relative to another without hearing the other band, but I guess some might interpret this as rigging it to a certain outcome. But that was indeed what I was trying to do, with the outcome desired being the best band actually winning.

Of course, everyone thought I was crooked, anyway, since I was printing t shirts for half the bands in the competition, as well as being a sponsor for the event.

The moral of the story is that you're never going to remove the human element from ranking anything that is subjective, so the human element will always be the overriding factor.
Big drivers and hot balls are the product of golf course design that rewards the hit one far then hit one high strategy.  Shinny showed everyone how to take care of this whole technology dilemma. - Pat Brockwell, 6/24/04

Tom_Doak

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #18 on: April 05, 2005, 12:51:21 PM »
George:

I have to agree with you [glad that I can say it's you and not Matt].  Rankings are inherently subjective so the most important thing is whom do you trust?  This is how the GOLF Magazine system was conceived and I still think it's the most sensible way, although I trusted the judgment of the people on their panel ten years ago a lot more than the people who have replaced them.

But GOLF DIGEST is not going to change their system ... they insist on a formula and a points system, and when you put that in place the formula you use pretty much pre-determines the results.  That's the subject of this thread.

Joel_Stewart

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #19 on: April 05, 2005, 01:24:04 PM »
But GOLF DIGEST is not going to change their system ... they insist on a formula and a points system, and when you put that in place the formula you use pretty much pre-determines the results.

You have to have some type of formula or algorithm to rank the best to worst.  The problem is the voting is so close that other than the top 6, its completely open to just about any course.

At Golf Digest, Pine Valley ranked #1 with 74.04 total points.

Seminole was #10 with 67.97 points
Bethpage was #29 with 66.00 points  (only 1.97 difference)
Eugene was #100 at 61.90.   On any good day, a golf course can go up or down with a few panelist votes.

The key is to seperate the numbers so its consistent and clearly identify the best.   Perhaps all of the magazines should throw out the high and low scores?

Mike Benham

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #20 on: April 05, 2005, 01:34:21 PM »
To Joel's point, anytime you take a composite score based on different criteria, you will be summarizing the results.

Perhaps showing the detail scoring for each criteria will provide additional fodder for discussion and how some of these rankings were achieved ...
"... and I liked the guy ..."

Jonathan Cummings

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Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #21 on: April 05, 2005, 01:53:37 PM »
Robert - I need to clarify.  That grocery list of categories were proposed as to simply find out the top most useful categories.  Here is the result and the measured weighting factors.

Interest of Greens & Chipping   12%
Memorability   10%
Variety/Mem of Par 5s   10%
Invasion Factor (eg-housing intrusion)   10%
Design Balance   10%
Variety/Mem of Par 4s   10%
Variety/Mem of Par 3s   10%
Fun   9%
Richness/Variety of Problems   10%
Lack of Distractions   9%

Tom_Doak

  • Total Karma: 10
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #22 on: April 05, 2005, 02:50:11 PM »
Jon:  That's scary.  It looks like you are trying to weed out "esthetics," which is something the architect does have partial control over, but then between "invasion factor" and "lack of distractions" you are basically giving courses without housing a 19-point head start on courses without.  I'm sure there are lots of people who would agree with that, but that makes the work of many golf architects entirely moot.

And being a good test of golf is worth zero?

Tom_Doak

  • Total Karma: 10
Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #23 on: April 05, 2005, 02:56:15 PM »
Joel:

You said that "on any good day, a course can go up or down with a few panelist votes."  That's why it's so important to have good people on the panel.  But it's equally obvious that tweaking the formula a bit can drastically change the results ... that's the difference between the 2003 rankings and the new ones, and it's much more dramatic than the previous change which involved only the panelists.

I don't understand the value of throwing out the high and low scores.  Its only purpose is if you think people are deliberately not voting their conscience in order to skew the results, or if you think you've got a few real dunderheads or "homers" on the panel ... which you should address by other means.  To me, if one person thinks a course is extra-special [or super-overrated], that says something more important than whether they gave it a 6 or a 7 in one category, so why would you throw that out?

blasbe1

Re:The Formula for Ranking Great Golf Courses
« Reply #24 on: April 05, 2005, 03:38:29 PM »
I nominate the "Ridiculously Good Test!"

I'm borrowing the phrase from someone on this Board that used it once in my presence, but I would say after all the technical tests which are important (variety of angles for tee shots and approach shots, course compatibility with environs, conditioning, routing, shot making requirements or hitting every club in the bag, mix of routing with prevailing wind so you're not always into or down wind, etc.) it separates the great courses from the rest.

It's sort of a Walk in the Park test meets ambiance test.  

It's basically how many times I look at a playing partner and say, or mutter to myself, "This place is ridiculously good!"

One word of caution, the results of play must be kept in mind so as not to confuse appreciation for successful shots or lack thereof with appreciation of ridiculously good architecture.