Hmmm.... yeah, I didn't read it close enough. I guess it depends on the wind... Given the wind that we faced the day Mr. Hendren pinch-hit with my driver, then yeah, I'm lucky if 25 find the green, and 65 out of 75 that don't are likely gonna swim. But that was one STRONG wind damn near straight in our face.
Average out all the wind conditions, and I'd like to think I'd make it over more than half the time. I wouldn't get an ace - the golf gods have determined that is not my fate - but I do believe I'd make it over more than I wouldn't.
Just for reference, I have played the hole 4 times. I hit the green twice, once made the carry but came up an inch short of the putting surface (for which Lou Duran wouldn't give me a GIR, which although he's correct I hate him for given it was one of the great shots of my life right into the teeth of the gale
) and once flew the ball over the left bunker into the sea, as described in another post.
So, 3 out of 4 to date... you make your own conclusions.
TH