Don,
I definitely think the contractors building courses today are as good as there has ever een in the industry. Some are so good and efficient with what they do that som eof the signature firms can almost "call in" much of the design having used the same guys b4 on different projects.
I think construction might be so good that it has endangered segments of the design business. For example, a professional golfer's agent could find him a "design" and all he would really need is a good contractor. I have also seen some mediocre architects move up a few notches because they aligned with a good contractor.
IMHO the architect of the future will be more of a design build type guy than an office/plans/bid/contractor......notto say those jobs will not be there. I think the entire time I have been in business i have only used a general contractor once......and I did not like it....
Plus once the contractors find that you do your own work they comment differently than if they think you may be sending work their way.....
I think that much of the work this website likes has been done by architects that are on site/ own guys/own shaper types.....
I don't know.
Mike
Mike, I can agree with a lot of your thoughts above, esp. that using a good contractor can elevate a not so sound gca to a better product.
I don't know if I see a trend towards gca as builder, but rather I see multiple trends for that, design-build collaborations, design-bid all being strong in the right areas.
As to shapers, here's a thought.......
I think shapers are as or more prone to getting stale as architects. If you have a shaper working for you only (whether self employed, or assigned by the contractor repeatedly) will he grow as much as one who has seen the concepts of a wide variety of gca's? Or more likely to fall into "this is the way we've always done it?"
I hate to generalize either way, but I can see benefits of working with different shapers, contractors, etc. If construction is in a golden age, I think its in part because of the transfer of knowledge as contractors and gca's mix and match more and more. On the other hand, there is probably more homogenization than you would have had when Ross had his crews, Tillie had his, etc.