Joe - thanks.
That analogy strikes a chord; I HAVE seen that happen. Would it be any different with a golf course? That's THE question, I think. And this is what comes to mind as an answer: in general, no, it's not any different; but in the specific example I described, it might be.
I think that the local course I describe is probably struggling not because it is a 'bad' course, but because the local/surrounding community is not large enough (i.e. does not have enough golfers) to sustain it, or at least to sustain more than, say, 1 golf course, and our struggling course has been beaten to the No. 1 spot by another one (rightly or wrongly).
Would making it a 'better' course change that situation? Maybe, but only if ALL agreed that it had indeed become better (but how likely is that?), and even then not for certain. BUT - if the golf-loving developer came into this scenario, his very attention and presence would change the 'rules of the game', I think.
What I mean is: once a developer (and his preferred architect) has bought into the idea that he might create a 'golfing destination' more cheaply and efficiently and effectively HERE, where there is at least an existing course and its infrastructure, instead of THERE, where there is nothing, then the whole scenario changes, and dramatically too. Because then the stakes don't have to be about winning the hearts and minds of the local/surrounding community; they can become about turning a local destination into a REGIONAL one, or even a NATIONAL one.
The 'intention' changes, the 'product' changes, the 'marketing' changes, the 'goals' change....might not different results follow? I don't know, so counter-points are welcome.
Why I think this important is that it might mean a neat local course doesn't become a parking lot (though with a NEW course the locals might be paying more than before, which is no good, except that they weren't playing it in the first place, so what do they expect?!
) Also, as I said, I really like the idea that average holes might have the potential to become very special ones, in the right hands.
Peter
By the way, Joe - please DO add some humour next time. I respect very much your experience and professional expertise, but I'm so used to the chuckles with you that when you don't provide them your post reads like an obituary