CDisher:
Interesting detail there from Karnow's book. I haven't read it. But you're certainly uncovering a chain of events, that if all true, could explain the way things evolved. Going back to that story of Reston and Kennedy (after JFK is embarassed by Nikita) seems a plausible spark or motivation, although seemingly small and inconsequential. But is it? Not really, not to me anyway. This is in fact the nail that fell out of the shoe of the King's horse scenario, which although seemingly funny or tragic sometimes is often the way the world works. That's why I really do believe in "very small increments of fate!"
And this is a good example, a very good example, of viewing history properly and from the correct perspective. This is a good example of looking at things from the beginning forward, as you should look at them, and not from now backwards. This way you are looking through the correct end of the telescope of history! We all tend to look at things from now backwards the vast majority of the time but unfortunately Kennedy (or any other actor on the world's stage) just didn't have that ability or luxury! Or did he? This is not mentioned to excuse him either, but.....!
When you look at it this way, what was Kennedy to do? These people were the players in the chess game of global geopolitics and when they move a pawn it happens to be a small country on the other side of the world sometimes. How else could it be? What do you think Kennedy should have done? Not be embarrassed by Nikita? Embarrasse him back? Should Nikita have embarrassed Kennedy in a setting like that? Shit happens, but in the case of people like Nikita and JFK an awful lot of people end up smelling it! To me anyway, JFK probably should have listened a bit more carefully to what De Gaulle, definitely a man who should know, had told him, and in no uncertain terms, about getting into VN!
Look at a chain of events (from beginning to now) more current but no less impactful. Bin Laden, Al Qaeda, Somalia and its intelligence service and the US and its Aministration, foreign affairs and intelligence apparatus!
Absolutely nobody denies, at this point, that the Somalian Intelligence service had the information on Bin Laden's rapidly building terror network. They tried to share it with the US and our intelligence network. Ours would not take the information! They tried for years (yes years) to pass it to us, to meet with our officials, in the Administration, in the State Department, in the Intelligence community. Everyone refused to meet with them or even talk with them. We wouldn't even return their phone calls or attempted contacts!
Why would we do such a thing? They just had information for God's Sake--it was just an ever-expanding file! Because, apparently we couldn't stand them, we didn't trust them after what happened to us there. Clinton, apparently, was really pissed at them for the politcal embarrassment he probably figured they caused him. And the State Department and our Intelligence community figured whatever they had was probably disinformation anyway!! Did you hear that? We thought a file on suspected terrorists was DISINFORMATION and we wouldn't take it! Does that really make any sense under any imaginable scenario? It didn't help at all that we had noone from intelligence on the ground over there. Why? Noone wanted to live in that crappy atmosphere!
This all began in 1995, I believe, and in the summer of 2001 the Somalian Intelligence info starts to FINALLY filter in to us (probably from some other source). I guess the spooks in Langley were reading through the file saying to themselves; "This doesn't really look like disinformation" when US airliners hit the Twin Towers and the Pentagon! America quickly forms a world-wide coalition and goes to war around the world against terrorism including Bin Laden's Al Qaeda network--and things start to unfold into what will become a most significant time in our history!
So let's go back to the nail in the shoe of the King's horse on this one. Who was it who took that first phone call or contact from the Somalian Intelligence Service, probably beginning a policy where we decided we didn't need to deal with these assholes because they might have embarrassed us once upon a time?
It's unbelievable sure, but crazy stuff like this happens, and it will happen again! In the past, now or in the future, it's just the times of our lives, I suppose!