Okay Scott, you win. There is no strategy left in Riviera 10 for top golfers. The fact that one half went for the green in the first two rounds this year, as opposed to around one-third the four rounds in 2004, actually means that at least 80% would have gone for it if they understood the hole as well as you. Mike Weir is a moron who should be blasting at the green with driver, as should the rest.
(By the way, in 2004 almost 10% more went for the green on the first 2 days than on the weekend. But you've got the stat you want, sort of, so dont let go!)
As for your search for stats, here are a few . . .
I went through the scores in 2004 and this is what I wrote down:
Eagles: 3 (0.68 %)
Birdies: 134 (30.32 %)
Pars: 265 (59.95 %)
Bogeys: 37 (8.37 %)
Doubles: 2 (0.45 %)
Others: 1 (0.23 %)
As I recall, those going for it had a slightly better chance of birdie and bogey. At least one of the eagles was from someone who either laid up or badly missed the green, I dont remember which.
So what does this mean? Nothing. What the field scores has nothing to do with what Tiger, Weir, Couples, Faxon, or any other individual golfer should do. They all have to work it out for themselves given their situation, then wonder whether they did the best thing.
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As for where the ball bounces, all I can say is go stand behind the green for a day or two of the tournament and watch some of the places it can go.