I decided a little while ago that I needed to work on my golf course strategy. Too many stupid shots that cost me, so I dug into it a bit. I found a video on youtube (
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ziCTTnmGPzU) that talks about strategy off the tee. It's quite long, but the gist of it is to go out and measure 20 drives and figure out what your shot pattern looks like. Then make sure that you only hit driver if 95% of the time your shot pattern will not be in penalty hazards (i.e. water or OB).
Anyway, the guy doing it is aiming it at college players, so a pretty high standard. Carry distance he talks about is about 290-295, which is way beyond what I can do, but he says that for almost everyone, the range from left to right of 95% of their shots is right about 65 yards. So you look at a hole on google earth and figure out where your driver is landing. If you have 65 yards between penalty hazards and the fairway doesn't pinch to less than 40 yards by bunkers or trees, then hit driver.
It's a fascinating video, but one of the things he mentions a couple of times (the quote in my thread title comes at around 30:40) is that for all the differences in golf course design, the 65 yards wide thing is a number that you see over and over again. He says also "it's almost like they are trying to force you to make the right decision". What do people think? Is golf course design formulaic? Do architects put bunkers in to narrow fairways and attempt to make people play a shorter club off the tee? If everyone started figuring out how to play holes in this fashion, would that have an impact on course design at all? I don't think it's likely to catch on other than at a pretty high level of competency, so I don't think it's a big deal.
For what it's worth, I think a lot of this stuff is stuff that I instinctively do on the course. If there is out of bounds or water around, I tend to feel tense with my driver and will often drop back to 3 wood or 2 iron if that's the case. It's much worse if there are houses around. Houses make me feel very constrained, mainly because I'm terrified of hitting them or someone in their yard. If there is room to open my shoulders a bit, then I will. I'm curious to hear an architect's POV on this.