I read it. Will have to read again before making serious comment.
That said, snarky comments are easy enough....what will you be tackling next? An easier subject like "Understanding women?"
Seriously, my first take away is that the decision process is so far from linear (and as you posit, logical) that many more factors would have to plug into any equation.
I have picked the brains of many tour pros, and found the level of logical thinking (that they can explain verbally anyway) varies. I expect the level would vary more on lesser levels of play.
Also to be considered is how they feel on any given day. Talking with Lanny Wadkins many years ago, asking how he would pay a hole, his response was "If I was feelling good, I would rope a draw down the speed slot and go for another fifty yards. If not so good, I would probably hit a conservative cut to the middle of the fairway."
How do you account for gut feel in any statistical analysis? Game situation (down two with two to play, etc.)
Honest Question, because I do like the approach. I don't see 32 pages as being much more than a summary or a sub topic if you really got into it. However, I will read it again, because I liked where it was going, even with those questions in mymind.