In the Manchester/Cheshire area it is a number of long-established clubs (over 100 years old) which are apparently most in danger of folding, two of them along the banks of the River Mersey in the Manchester suburbs. One small pay-and-play facility (Mobberley, 9-holes, very badly designed) closed recently in order for a wealthy local football star to build a very big house in the grounds.
I was working last week for a client in Plumley near Knutsford, and the conversation soon turned to golf. This brought home to me just how many golf courses have sprung up in the last 25 years in that area alone. Within 15 minutes of his home;
Vale Royal Abbey
Hartford
High Legh Park
Antrobus
Heyrose
Woodside
Peover
Mobberley
Of these, only Heyrose and Antrobus feature in Mark's 1994 book 'The Golf Courses of Cheshire', and they were brand new at the time.
These new proprietary clubs outnumber the more traditional members' clubs in the same area;
Delamere Forest
Sandiway
Knutsford
Lymm
Wilmslow
Mere (Proprietary but long established and very posh)
Dunham Forest
Anyone with any local knowledge perusing these two lists will immediately see that with the possible exception of Vale Royal all the quality is in the second one. It will also be clear that there would have been a real shortage of golf provision before all these new courses were built - the R&A announcement of 1989 gets a lot of stick but IMO it made a lot of sense - the trouble is that things went too far. In the area in question golf provision more than
doubled over the next 15 years - that is a rate of increase that cannot be sustained in any industry.
And this is just one little area of rural north-west England which I happen to know about - I'm sure that it is not unique.
Recently of course, the inevitable failures have started to happen. Mobberley and Peover went bust this year and have closed. There is no suggestion that they will re-open. Others will surely follow.
My client was a member at Peover, it being only a couple of minutes from his home. He joined there on taking up the game a few years ago. His criteria for choosing a new club were very interesting in the context of this discussion.
Firstly, he did not want anything to do with another proprietary club. His experience at Peover of poor maintenance over a number of years had convinced him that only a club owned and run by its members would suit him.
Secondly, he was not prepared to pay a joining fee. A successful professional man and a high net worth individual in his early fifties, I would not have thought that this would be a barrier, but he objected to the idea on principle. Thus ruling out the obvious candidates such as Delamere, Sandiway or Wilmslow, he had plumped for Lymm, a middle of the road, bog standard, OK but nothing special traditional members club with fees of under a grand a year. He clearly loves it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YzwJA5KZAEQAn anecdote about one man who took up golf in his forties - but I suspect that it may be significant.
He is exactly the type of guy the game (and the industry) needs to attract.