So here's another question (and maybe it's already been covered in this now 10-age thread):
What is the best way for a mid-capper to take strokes of his game?
I would say that, in most cases, it's to focus on learning new short game shots and mastery. Why? Because the motions are much smaller and simpler to learn and they require less power to perform well. People of all ages and skill levels should be able to learn the short game to an adequate standard much easier (I believe) than the long game.
I see so, so many mid-cappers that struggle with basic pitch shots that it's become a personal mission of mine to help people learn the basic pitch shot that you see every professional in the world hit on a regular basis. It's not a hard shot to learn -- once you have the technique -- but it's one I see butchered over and over and over.
What thinkest the GCA?
I would think putting. I do think that Broadie is correct in that long game has the biggest impact on scoring, but one thing that is missed by the stats is the state of mind of the player. My thinking is this. If you get good enough that you feel confident of holing a putt from 6 feet, then that takes the pressure off your short game, because you only have to hit a reasonable chip and you're getting up and down. If you do that, it takes the pressure off your approach play, because you only have to get it around the green to make par and if you hit a good shot you have a good chance at birdie. Long story short I think that being a good putter facilitates having a good long game.
The other thing about putting is you can practise that anywhere. On the carpet at home or even in the office potentially. Hard to practise your long game without going to a range, which may or may not be practical. There are also no real physical limitations to putting. Most of us will never get to experience carrying a bunker that's 300 yards away. All of us can hole a 40 foot putt. And all of us can learn to hole 6 foot putts with regularity.
Jon - when did Seve become a straight driver? I didn't really start following golf until after Seve was past his best and I never remember him being a straight driver. I do remember him playing a singles match against Tom Lehman in the early 90s and he couldn't hit it within 50 yards of the fairway, but he was getting it up and down from everywhere. Lehman was laughing about it it was so incredible. Lehman of course went on to win his match because an all world short game can only do so much in the face of a 10 handicap long game...
Also, why do you use Strokes Gained Putting and not Putts Per Round? If you are going to use Strokes Gained Putting, why wouldn't you use Strokes Gained Driving? Or Strokes Gained Long Game? That's what Broadie uses for all of them.
The reason that what Broadie uses is "right" is because he took 8 years worth of data of every shot hit by every player on the PGA Tour. From that he compiled the average number of strokes it takes to complete the hole from every distance in every situation. You can find a table of that at the end of his paper. He then uses that to compare each player's shots with the norm. Every time you hit the ball, you add a shot (if you're me, you may add more than one) and in return (hopefully) your expected number of shots to complete the hole goes down. If it goes down by more than the one stroke that you took, then you gained something on the field. If it goes down by less than the one stroke that you took, then you lost something on the field.
Let's put it this way. Suppose you have a 460 yard par four. Two people are playing. The pin is on the back left corner of the green in an awkward spot about 4 yards from the edge of the green. Player 1, let's call him Bubba, hits his drive 340 yards into the semi rough on the right edge of the fairway, leaving himself 120 yards in. Player 2, let's call him Corey, hits a bit of a pop up that finishes up 240 yards away in the fairway. Player 2, from 220 yards hits a 3 wood that dribbles onto the front edge of the green around 90 feet from the hole. Player 1, from 120 yards hits it to the fringe around 13 feet from the hole, with a straight uphill look at the hole. Player 2 hits his first putt 8 feet by the hole. Player 1 putts up to a foot and taps in. Player 2 holes his 8 footer for a 4.
Here, both players made par. Player 1 missed the fairway and green and Player 2 hit the fairway and the green. Player 2 two putted and Player 1 one putted and got a scrambled par in the process. So it looks like Player 2 has the better long game and Player 1 has the better short game. If, instead we look at it from a strokes gained perspective, we have the following:
460 off the tee is 4.17 shots
220 from the fairway is 3.32 shots
120 from the rough is 3.08 shots
90 feet from the green is 2.379 shots
13 feet from the fringe is let's say 1.90 shots
1 foot from the green is 1.001 shots
So Player 1 gains 0.09 shots with his drive, 0.18 shots with his second shot, loses 0.101 shots with his short game and gains 0.001 shots with his putt. Player 2 loses 0.15 shots with his drive, loses 0.059 shots with his second shot and gains 0.379 shots with his putting. So this would indicate that actually Player 1 has the better long game and Player 2 the better short game.
Which of the two methods do you think more accurately reflects the way that they played the hole?