So my opponent has a dodgy long game meaning he misses half the greens. He does however have a great short game and gets up and down each time and makes two birdies on the greens he hit in regulation meaning he is 2 under par. I have a great long game and hit all the fairways and 15 greens in reg but have a lower than par short game so fail to make any birdies and do not get up and down on the missed greens leaving me 3 over par.
Tom Watson maintained a very high standard with his long game and even at the age of 60 was an outstanding ball striker yet once his fabulous short game went he stopped being the dominant force he once was.
Yet if the important thing was long game and ball striking how come Tom Watson and I are not winning? The problem with stats is you can make them tell you the results you want.
Jon
The point is that the best short games in the world, missing greens in the right places, still only get up and down around 70% of the time. Your friend who is hitting only 9 greens is not getting up and down 100% of the time. Not even close. A good short game is 2/3 of the time and a bad short game is 1/3 of the time. If someone is hitting 15 greens, they're probably hitting it closer than the guy hitting 9 greens too. There just isn't a game where someone hits 15 greens and makes no birdies with regularity. Not on the same course that someone who hits 9 greens is making them. You're also assuming that the 9 greens guy hasn't put himself in any trouble at all other than missing those greens. Nothing in the water, nothing OB, nothing in the trees with a pitch out. Not realistic.
More likely is the guy who hits 15 greens, but has a poor short game is going to make 2 bogeys from his 3 missed greens and probably makes 2 or 3 birdies, if only on the par fives. The guy who hits 9 greens, let's assume he has an all world short game and is a great putter, he might make 3 birdies, but he's also making 4 bogeys.
The other thing is that 9 greens isn't that bad. That's still a decent long game. 15 greens is amazing (to be done consistently). But even comparing a decent long game with a spectacular short game against a spectacular long game and a hopeless short game, you're still looking at Mr 15 greens winning most of the time.
Bottom line is there is not a single golfer on the planet who is shooting 100+ each time out who could be turned into a 70 shooter just by improving his short game. There are plenty of people shooting 100+ each time out who could be turned into a 70 shooter just by improving their long game (granted a large improvement, but still).