I'm sorry I've already given this thread way too much of my time...but this is the dumbest discussion of all time.
You know what lets a 15 handicap player avoid the pond? A pitching wedge. Maybe its a 9 iron. Maybe they can fly a sand wedge there...seriously, what 15 hcp player can't hit an 80 shot within a ~40 yard target 70% of the time? I would even give most 15 hcps I know 85% chance of hitting that shot.
If they can't play #15 at Augusta, how is this theoretical person going to play #12 at Augusta, #16 at Streamsong Red, #7 at Streamsong Blue., #4 at NGLA, #8 at Pebble Beach, #10 at Pine Valley or any number of wonderful golf holes.
What is the reasonable minimum shot you must ask a of a player? a 1 yard carry? a 15 yard carry? Does every single shot have to have 50 options in which to play it?