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Randy Thompson

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O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« on: June 12, 2012, 11:54:22 PM »
I give him 15%-20% chance of winning, 80% chance of finishing in the top 5 and 5% chanvce of not making the cut. How bout ya all? Speak now or forever hold your peace!
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Kirk Moon

Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2012, 12:10:20 AM »
Quote from: Randy Thompson on June 12, 2012, 11:54:22 PM
I give him 15%-20% chance of winning, 80% chance of finishing in the top 5 and 5% chanvce of not making the cut. How bout ya all? Speak now or forever hold your peace!
I think you're right on.  If he brings the same mind set to Olympic that he had on display on Sunday at the Memorial he will be a force to be reckoned with.
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Jay Flemma

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Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2012, 12:12:22 AM »
T-5.  Winner = +3
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Doug Siebert

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2012, 12:23:36 AM »
T-8 5 shots back from the winner.
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My hovercraft is full of eels.

Terry Lavin

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2012, 07:39:38 AM »
Third place. Winner -4.
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Nobody ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people.  H.L. Mencken

archie_struthers

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #5 on: June 13, 2012, 07:59:01 AM »
 >:( :D ;)

Watch out for Luke Donald, Olympic is right up his "alley" !
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Rich Goodale

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #6 on: June 13, 2012, 08:04:37 AM »
On the 18th--either Friday or Sunday, or Monday, or Tuesday.......
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Life is good.

Any afterlife is unlikely and/or dodgy.

Jean-Paul Parodi

JC Jones

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #7 on: June 13, 2012, 08:16:32 AM »
Quote from: Rich Goodale on June 13, 2012, 08:04:37 AM
On the 18th--either Friday or Sunday, or Monday, or Tuesday.......

8th on Friday ;D
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I get it, you are mad at the world because you are an adult caddie and few people take you seriously.

Excellent spellers usually lack any vision or common sense.

I know plenty of courses that are in the red, and they are killing it.

PCCraig

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #8 on: June 13, 2012, 08:19:50 AM »
#1
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H.P.S.

Jud_T

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #9 on: June 13, 2012, 08:25:51 AM »
I'd like to think he'll win it, but I just can't see him playing 4 flawless rounds on that course.
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Golf is a game. We play it. Somewhere along the way we took the fun out of it and charged a premium to be punished.- - Ron Sirak

PCCraig

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #10 on: June 13, 2012, 08:26:54 AM »
Quote from: archie_struthers on June 13, 2012, 07:59:01 AM
>:( :D ;)

Watch out for Luke Donald, Olympic is right up his "alley" !

Archie,

While I'd love to see Luke win this week, I'm not entirely sure the course is going to play to his strengths this week. From everything I've read (and heard from a couple friends out there this week) is that the fairways are narrow and rock hard. So with their slopes it's conceivable that even if someone is driving it well (not always Luke's strength to begin with), they're still going to end up in the rough a lot off the tee. Being in the rough would tend to neutralize Luke's strong iron game a bit and would make it harder for him to get GIR's to get easier pars.

I really really hope I'm wrong though! I'd be ecstatic if he won this week.
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H.P.S.

Jud_T

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #11 on: June 13, 2012, 08:36:03 AM »
I guess you could argue that if Tiger's got that 290 yard stinger working and can keep it out of the tall stuff, the harder it plays the more it plays into his hands, at least on paper.  Looks like no rain in the forecast either so it could get pretty crusty out there, particularly if you're not playing from the fairway.
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Golf is a game. We play it. Somewhere along the way we took the fun out of it and charged a premium to be punished.- - Ron Sirak

Brad Isaacs

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #12 on: June 13, 2012, 09:03:58 AM »
Quote from: Randy Thompson on June 12, 2012, 11:54:22 PM
I give him 15%-20% chance of winning, 80% chance of finishing in the top 5 and 5% chanvce of not making the cut. How bout ya all? Speak now or forever hold your peace!


Tiger has played in 65 professional majors and won 14. So you think he is playing as good as he has vs the field  as he ever has?  With a a missed cut, and a couple of 40th places, I just don't think he has separated himself from the field like he used to. He is a top ten player in the world not the top player inthe world. 10% would be extremely high and closer to 3-5% I would but into, but 15-20%. Vegas will take those odds and make money betting against.

Remember this is the Olympic club............
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Rich Goodale

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #13 on: June 13, 2012, 10:48:23 AM »
Quote from: JC Jones on June 13, 2012, 08:16:32 AM
Quote from: Rich Goodale on June 13, 2012, 08:04:37 AM
On the 18th--either Friday or Sunday, or Monday, or Tuesday.......

8th on Friday ;D

Good point, JC.  At least he'll have the burger to look forward to......
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Life is good.

Any afterlife is unlikely and/or dodgy.

Jean-Paul Parodi

Mike Hendren

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #14 on: June 13, 2012, 11:38:16 AM »
On my two cards I have:

Donald
Dufner
Z. Johnson
Kuchar
Mahan
McIlroy
Mickelson
Rose
Westwood
Woods

Furyk
Garcia
D. Johnson
Kuchar
McIlroy
Mickelson
Oosthuizen
Strticker
Westwood
Woods
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Two Corinthians walk into a bar ....

Phil McDade

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #15 on: June 13, 2012, 11:54:11 AM »
Quote from: Michael_Hendren on June 13, 2012, 11:38:16 AM
On my two cards I have:

Donald
Dufner
Z. Johnson
Kuchar
Mahan
McIlroy
Mickelson
Rose
Westwood
Woods

Furyk
Garcia
D. Johnson
Kuchar
McIlroy
Mickelson
Oosthuizen
Strticker
Westwood
Woods

Lot of big names there, Bogey -- not exactly Fleck, Simpson and Janzen. Olympic usually produces odd winners at the Open. What about someone like D.A. Points? Not long, but pretty accurate, and decent at hitting greens. If the set-up and conditions produces a winning score in line with past US Opens there (around par, maybe a stroke or two under), I'd go with a plodder.
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Jordan Caron

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #16 on: June 13, 2012, 12:02:31 PM »
Quote from: Jud Tigerman on June 13, 2012, 08:25:51 AM
I'd like to think he'll win it, but I just can't see him playing 4 flawless rounds on that course.

Do you see anyone playing flawless for four rounds?

Tiger will finish 3rd 3 shots back.
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Mike Hendren

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #17 on: June 13, 2012, 01:50:57 PM »
Good point, Phil, but WHICH plodder.  Missed cut tags me with 65 points.  Gotta go chalk.

Bogey
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Two Corinthians walk into a bar ....

Tim Martin

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #18 on: June 13, 2012, 04:49:05 PM »
If he leaves the driver mostly out of the mix he wins. If he hits it a lot he finishes 5th.
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George Pazin

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #19 on: June 13, 2012, 05:14:50 PM »
It's like none of you guys have seen an Open at Olympic before...

I expect a performance like the Masters. I expect a relative unknown winner who goes on to... nothing. (I know, that's not fair to Casper.)

Next most likely outcome is Tiger finishes 2nd in a playoff to Casey Martin.

 :)
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Big drivers and hot balls are the product of golf course design that rewards the hit one far then hit one high strategy.  Shinny showed everyone how to take care of this whole technology dilemma. - Pat Brockwell, 6/24/04

Matthew Petersen

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #20 on: June 13, 2012, 05:19:32 PM »
Quote from: George Pazin on June 13, 2012, 05:14:50 PM
It's like none of you guys have seen an Open at Olympic before...

I expect a performance like the Masters. I expect a relative unknown winner who goes on to... nothing. (I know, that's not fair to Casper.)

Next most likely outcome is Tiger finishes 2nd in a playoff to Casey Martin.

 :)

Because he's exhausted coming down the stretch of the 90th hole, while Martin is fresh as can be.
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Jud_T

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #21 on: June 13, 2012, 05:26:57 PM »
I'm guessing a Casey/Tiger/McIlroy playoff is a network execs wet dream...Casey wins after Tiger severely pulls a hamstring hacking out of the rough and has to pull out cause he can't walk the back nine....
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Golf is a game. We play it. Somewhere along the way we took the fun out of it and charged a premium to be punished.- - Ron Sirak

Alex Miller

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #22 on: June 13, 2012, 05:34:33 PM »
Quote from: Jud Tigerman on June 13, 2012, 05:26:57 PM
I'm guessing a Casey/Tiger/McIlroy playoff is a network execs wet dream...Casey wins after Tiger severely pulls a hamstring hacking out of the rough and has to pull out cause he can't walk the back nine....

Oh man... I laughed.
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Phil McDade

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #23 on: June 13, 2012, 06:23:17 PM »
Quote from: Michael_Hendren on June 13, 2012, 01:50:57 PM
Good point, Phil, but WHICH plodder.  Missed cut tags me with 65 points.  Gotta go chalk.

Bogey

Bogey:

Five plodders to watch (I consider a plodder anyone who's major- or Players Championship-less) besides D.A.:

-- Justin Rose (5 top 10s this season, including a win. Solid driving/GIR stats.)
-- John Senden (4th in GIR, behind only Westwood, Watson and Rose).
-- Jonathan Byrd (5 top 10s this year)
-- Steve Stricker (T5th last time Open played here)
-- Jeff Maggert (T6th last time Open played here; playing decently lately, and has played a ton of majors.)
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John McCarthy

  • Karma: +0/-0
Re: O.T.Where will Tiger finsh in this open
« Reply #24 on: June 13, 2012, 07:00:02 PM »
According to my daughter, Bubba is going to win.  She also has him winning the NBA finals.  She is four.
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The only way of really finding out a man's true character is to play golf with him. In no other walk of life does the cloven hoof so quickly display itself.
 PG Wodehouse
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