Jim,
I think in your first sentence I think you mean "is really unimportant to unwinding."
I think the timing of the swap is important and my analysis sound, but my major theses do not depend on it one way or another. Jeff and Mike seem to think it is some sort of a lynchpin, but it isn't. Even if we completely disregard the swap, the evidence of CBM/HJW's extensive influence over the initial design is overwhelming.
I understand what you are getting at by calling the issue the "most important unknown," but this is only because we already know most everything else with a much higher degree of certainty. I recently looked again at my IMO for the first time in a long time, and it is easy to forget now just how much information was in there that had never before been brought forward. The Barker routing, CBM/HJW's crucial role in the decision to purchase, the Real Estate angle, the actual parcels involved, the acquisition of the Dallas Estate, the Lease of the RR property, CBM/HJW's role in planning the course, H.G. Lloyd's important role throughout, the structure of the purchase, a proper understanding of what they meant by "to lay out" a golf course on the ground, a better understanding of Wilson's actual involvement in the project, an more accurate understanding of the NGLA meeting, a thorough refutation of the Wilson Legend, the early articles indicating that most of the course was based on the great holes abroad, the extensive incorporation of CBM tells into the design, etc. All of that (and more) isn't really in dispute any more. Basically the IMO and the work Tom MacWood and I did before and after has rewritten the early history of the East Course.
And out of all of that (and more) about all these guys have left to try and fight is my explanation of the timing of the swap. They don't seem to realize, though, that no matter the outcome of that particular battle, they've long ago lost their war.
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Jeff, If "oh, never mind" is what you say when you have your facts wrong, then perhaps you should apply it to your post above to Patrick.
- The Minutes do NOT provide a log of CBM's work at Merion, so assumption that Merion "recorded all of the important contacts with CBM" is incorrect. Merion's Board Minutes did not chronicle the day to day activities relating to the creation of the golf course. CBM's later letter to Wilson regarding agronomy matters does NOT show up in Merion's Minutes. Nor do communications planning the NGLA visit. Nor does the conversations and/or communications Wilson had with CBM prior to his writing Piper and Oakley. And the records indicated that CBM was dealing directly and personally with Lloyd and later with Wilson, not with Merion or its Board.
- Your claim that CBM's June 1910 letter mentions Oakley/Piper is mistaken. Wilson's February 1, 1911 letter mentions that "Mr. Charles Macdonald spoke of [Piper]" but CBM's June letter mentioned neither Piper nor Oakley. So we know that there were communications beyond those mentioned in the Minutes.
- Generally, your insistence on treating each documented instance of CBM's involvement as an independent, isolated incident walled off from the rest is likewise unrealistic and defies common sense. This was a process that began in the summer of 1910 and continued through April 1911 (at least) and CBM and HJW were involved throughout the process.
- Your conjecture about how CBM would not have done anything prior to the actual purchase is contradicted by the record itself. If he wasn't willing to "waste a minute" until the land was locked up, then why in the world did he and Whigham travel all the way to Philadelphia in June of 1910 to go over the property and advise Merion what could be done with the land? Why did they meet with the committee while there? Why did they provide cost estimates? Why did they follow that up with a letter? For that matter, the land wasn't even officially and finally "locked up" by MCC even at the time of the NGLA meetings, so what was he was working with Merion on the plans at NGLA, and following that up with yet another visit a few weeks later?
- This last theory seems to be based on your belief that no decision was made regarding the purchase until November of 1910, but your belief is a bit off. Mid-Nov. 1910 was when the announcement was made to the members, but Merion's Board had determined to acquire the 120 acres on July 1, 1910, the day after Lloyd received CBM's letter.