How about the tee shot on #4? (for starters). I'd think #11, #12, #14, a#15, #18 would also require a lot of thought.
And #2, #5, #6, #1 too.
Dan,
The tee shot on #4 confuses me. I think it may be one of the least strategic actually. All anyone is trying to do is hit any portion of the fairway in order to give themselves a lay up shot. What difference does one side of the fairway have if the second shot is a lay up for 95% of the best players in the world? Now the second shot may get the guys thinking as to where they want to be for their third shots.
#11 is a hole where anywhere in the fairway is fine. With a wedge second shot and a green that does not have huge movement, anything but the left rough is fine. (Right rough is no treat but left rough is dead).
#12 I don't remember one side being any better than the other. #14 and #15 are lay ups most likely either short of the narrowing point at #14 and certainly on #15 to keep from going through the fairway there. #18 is a busted tee shot up to whatever point the fairway gets really narrow (if that is how it is set up).
The firmer and faster will result in lots of divots on those tee boxes
Most on this site praise firm and fast but for Merion as firm and faster shortens an already short course (by world class standards) and narrows fairways, the tee shot becomes nothing more than "what club can I chase down there to keep it in the fairway"? On holes that dogleg players will play to the turn point. On holes that narrow up alot they will play for the roll out to stop at that point and on a few holes like #2 and #18 that are long and straight where length can result in a significant;y easier next shot, they will try and bomb it (again provided the fairways are not narrowed up at 300 yards).
Please don't misunderstand this post--I think Merion is fantastic and one of the greatest courses our country has. I just don't think that the way 99.5% of us view strategy of the tee bears any resemblance to how the elite, world class golfers look at the same shot. I don't think it will be necessarily a great test of driving skill with a driver but unlike many golfers I don't think that is always bad. Nicklaus hit three drivers a round I think (#2, #4 and #18) back in '71 and I think that will be the case for many again in 2013. Again, I think it is more interesting to see players pick different clubs off the tee versus instinctively grabbing for the same club. However, they will be playing to distance spots with those clubs not really trying to favor one side or another. There will certainly be a game plan and strategy as to what second shot they plan on attcking with and that is a strategy of course but not the startegy we like to think of on this site necessarily.
Tiger's display at Hoylake was masterful and I think when he did pull out driver it made for more interest than having him just grab for driver all day long. In that case weather and conditions dictated a very strategic "tacking" around the course. This is in contrast to Muirfield (1972) where I think Jack Nicklaus hit irons for three days due to thick rough on every hole. Of course many may argue it was a poor strategy as he left himself too far behind and his final round charge (with driver in hand) came up short.