Tim:
Re. your list:
http://www.golfdigest.com/golf-courses/golf-courses/2009-05/100_greatestgolfcourses1. Augusta -- already has a major; closed in June; 2. Pine Valley -- doesn't want it; hard to get spectators around the place; 3. Shinnecock -- has held 3 Opens; word is the members don't want the hassle anymore (but should hold the Open again if they so desire); 4. Cypress -- USGA won't hold it due to membership practices? too short for today's (and tomorrow's) players; 5. Oakmont -- held it recently; back again in 2016; 6. Pebble -- just held it; likely to again; 7. Merion East -- has held it before; set for 2013; 8. Winged Foot West -- has held several Opens; see # 3 re. membership concerns; greens look crappy on TV; 9. Fishers -- see #4 re. length; logistical concerns getting that many fans on a boat across the Sound; 10. Seminole -- abhors publicity of nearly any kind; won't like the idea of public "patrons" trampling on the course; closed in June? Membership unlikely to support; 11. Oak Hill East -- likely Open contender down the road, but may have aligned itself too closely with PGA; 12. Chicago GC -- too short, too easy; 13. Sand Hills -- too remote; 14. Pac Dunes -- too short; 15. NGLA -- too short; membership likely thinks too big of a tournament (they take their tournament crowds in small doses, like the upcoming Walker Cup); membership also probably opposed to the idea of slumming with its neighbors next door by lowering itself to hosting the Open; 16. Crystal Downs -- intriguing, but too short; 17. Wade Hampton -- It's a Fazio, which would cause group apoplexy among the GCA crowd; I know little of this course, so this is a maybe; a shadow of Pinehurst 2?; 18. TCC -- doesn't want it anymore; turned away chance at hosting historic 2013 Open (Ouimet 100th anniversary); 19. Muirfield Village -- regularly chewed up by the pros at the Memorial; not tough enough. 20. Medinah -- USGA would have to work with Cook Co. again, a probable non-starter; ties to PGA/Ryder Cup make Open prospects poor.
21. Prairie Dunes -- too short; recently hosted Women's Open; 22. Whistling Straits -- a good candidate save for its long-term association with PGA; Herbie Kohler lusts for the Open, however, so a darkhorse; 23. Oakland Hills -- see Medinah/WStraits PGA ties; but a candidate down the road; 24. Victoria National -- no way to get spectators around; USGA might balk at key role in hosting the tournament likely to be played by VN national member John Kavanaugh; 25. Ocean Course -- tied to PGA; 26. Olympic -- gets the Open in a few years; 27. Club at Black Rock -- Is this the course with the goofy moveable green? Now that's clown's mouth golf; 28. Castle Pines -- couldn't keep a PGA Tour stop; pros might get mixed up thinking Open played under Stableford rules; 29. Bethpage Black -- hosted two recent Opens; too rainy; NY may or may not want it back; 30. Baltusrol (Lower) -- gets PGA soon; not as good as Upper, according to Matt Ward; 31. Riveria -- too short; 32. Pinehurst 2 -- gets the Open in four years; 33. Bandon Dunes -- too short; 34. Southern Hills -- cast its lot with the PGA; maybe too short by time next Open opportunity comes along; too darn hot in June anyway; 35. The Golf Club -- very private; doubt tiny membership wants it; 36. San Francisco -- the Seminole of the West Coast; the place hates publicity so much it's hard to get a decent picture thread on GCA; 37. Butler -- a very strong candidate, save for that minor gender thing; 38. Honors Course -- Bogey would have to host; maybe not a bad thing. I know little of the course; Tennessee's first Open! 39. Sebanack -- gets a USGA tryout with the Women's Open soon; a definite maybe; 40. Inverness -- has held it in the past, but now past its prime; only Seniors need apply for their Open.
41. Shadow Creek -- June in Vegas a non-starter; more manufactured that WStraits and Ch. Bay; Fazio connection hurts as well; 42. Canyata --- too new; 43. Olympia Fields -- see #20 re. Cook County; viewed (unfairly) as too easy; Terry Lavin likely wants control (again!) of set-up, which could prove problematic; 44. The Quarry -- Another Fazio; doesn't he get it? Gotta be in a desert, which doesn't help chances; 45. TPC Sawgrass -- already has a Tour stop; narrowing further for USGA Open specs would eliminate fairways; 46. Rich Harvest -- didn't hold up as well as an interesting course compared to Ch. Bay when I viewed Solheim Cup last year; Chicago GCAers whose views I respect suggest it's over-rated. 47. LA North -- if the membership had wanted an Open, it would've hosted one by now. Therefore, one must conclude...; 48. Kinloch -- is it near anything? I hear very good things about this course; I could support; Vinny Giles US Senior Am champ (at the Bev!), so good USGA connections; 49. Arcadia Bluffs -- not universally praised; seems like a lesser version of Ch. Bay; unlikley to be as F&F as CBay in June; 50. Shoal Creek -- USGA won't like leftover controversy from PGA there re. membership (blue coats have elephantine memories); just got some kind of name tournament; Alabama in June -- really? 51. Spyglass -- too short; a shadow of its neighbors; already a stop on the Tour; 52. Milwaukee -- I like it! Great US Mid-Am site in '08; probably a tad too short for the big boys; very quiet course that sticks to it's Brigadoon schedule -- pops up every 20 years to host some kind of important but low-key championship; 53. Garden City -- too short and probably too easy; 54. Cherry Hills -- maybe; can it hang on for another 50 years to host the centennial of Arnie's victory? 55. Forest Highlands -- is this the one Doak liked in the Confidential Guide? Seems a bit short at the altitude of Flagstaff. 56. Double Eagle -- egh? Said to be OK, but has it hosted any tourney of significance? 57. Pete Dye GC -- Would the USGA ever really take the Open to W. Virginia? 58. Kittansett -- too short; traffic nightmares, I'm assuming. 59. Dallas National -- too hot in June; 60. Peachtree -- has seen better days? Still Open worthy?
Of the remaining 40, Congressional (66) gets it next year, but only Aronimink (76) seems a possible legitimate contender.