No.
That being said, I am not sure if he will win either. I don't think he'll blow up and shoot 80 or something, but 2 over is possible, and certainly not a terrible round. I don't think McDowell will work it out, I see him shooting no better than par, likely 2 or 3 over. Tiger is the wild card. His scores have gotten better each round, certainly I don't see him shooting 65 or better, but I can see him shooting a 69. He get to -3 or -4 early in this round and that changes the whole game.