Ralph:
Several times...but I'll add a few thoughts as long as the thread remains on the first page.
Matt:
As one of Jack's defenders, I'm about ready to concede Tiger's superiority. As for your primary argument --that if Tiger quit today, he'd be considered Jack's superior -- I'm not quite there yet. His equal, yes; better -- not quite.
For alot of (good) reasons, accomplishments in major tournaments in individual sports is the primary measuring stick of greatness. As you and I have debated before, I'd argue that Norman doesn't hold up in comparison to Faldo (or Seve) because of his record in majors. Faldo had six, Seve five, and Norman only two, while contending (with winning a real possibility) in perhaps a dozen more. Seriously contending in majors IS a worthy stat, I'd argue (a clear edge that Jack has over Tiger so far), but you also have to close the deal. Faldo and Seve did, and Norman did not.
Comparing great athletes from different eras is a legitimate topic of debate; sports fans have been doing it as long as there has been competition. Federer vs. Sampras, Borg, or Laver, Owens vs. Lewis or Johnson, Ali vs. Louis -- all good and worthy debates.
As for golf, I think the debate about technology, course conditions, media pressure, and whatnot are all red herrings -- each era presents its unique set of circumstances under which great players emerge. Jack was the best of his era, Tiger his, and each faced unique pressures under which they succeeded far better than their peers.
Specific arguments for Tiger:
-- Tiger's overall winning percentage in all tournaments is clearly an edge he has over Jack.
-- Tiger holds the record-low score in each of the four majors. In my book, that's an even greater edge over Jack than his overall winning percentage. As good as Jack's '65 win was at Augusta (-17, win by nine strokes), Tiger in '97 was better (-18, 12 strokes). Jack's very solid US Opens win at Pebble and Baltusrol ('80) were trumped by Tiger's '00 win at Pebble (-12, win by 15, the single best performance by any golfer anywhere). Tiger also won four majors in a row, something Jack never did (and never really came close).
-- Tiger's never lost a major he's led going into the final round. That's an impressive feat -- sustained greatness under great pressure.
Specific arguments against Tiger:
-- He's not there yet, as far as majors. He's at 14, compared to 18 for Jack, and although I think Tiger will get at least five more, he hasn't yet. He's got a lot of courses coming up where he's won or done well (Pebble, TOC at least twice, Pinehurst, Hazeltine, plus Augusta), so I'd argue the odds are in his favor. But winning a major is hard, and as the US Open at BBlack showed, sometimes circumstances don't go Tiger's way.
-- His competition wasn't as great as Jack's. An argument with no end, but I'll continue to argue that the top tier of players that Jack faced during his major-winning years was better than what Tiger has faced -- so far. Els (2), O'Meara (2 in one great six-month stretch), Goosen (2), Cabrera (2) Singh (3), and Mickelson (3) have won multiple majors since Tiger's '97 win at Augusta. Player (7 majors post-Oakmont '62), Trevino (6), Watson (at least 4, maybe as many as 8, depending on how long you define Jack's major-winning career), Palmer (2), Casper (2), Floyd (at least 2, maybe all 4), Seve (2, maybe 3 or even 4), Boros (2), Irwin (2), Jacklin (2), Miller (2), Stockton (2) -- all won multiple majors during Jack's prime, or twice as many as Tiger's peer group. That number may increase to 12 by the time Tiger is done winning majors -- Olgivy, Curtis, Furyk and Johnson have the games to win another major certainly (Harrington's a big asterisk to me, because two of his three majors came with Tiger on the DL). Certainly Player, Trevino and Watson -- as the very top-tier players competing against Jack -- had much better records in majors than anyone Tiger has faced, so far. And I doubt that Els, Singh and Mickelson will catch any of those three -- all are at an age where major wins are rare, rather than a real possibility.
-- He could stop winning majors. It happened to Watson, who had eight when he was 33, and then stopped winning in his prime when he stopped making putts. Tiger's 33, with two kids. He attributed his loss at BBlack exclusively to putting, and admitted to Michael Wilbon in a recent PTI interview that he finds it harder to put in as much time at golf with the growing demands of his family. He probably won't, but we have to at least consider the possibility that he might stop winning majors.
-- Tiger has never come from behind to win a major. If Tiger's record in winning majors while in the lead going into the last round is a factor on his side, not winning while behind has to be a detriment. He's had his chances, but never done it. Jack did it multiple times -- Oakmont in '62, notably (two behind entering the last round), '63 PGA, '66 BOpen, '67 US Open, '70 BOpen, '75 Masters, '86 Masters. Jack never once lost a major in which he held the third-round lead alone (he twice finished 2nd when tied for the 3rd round lead -- '71 Masters tied w/ Coody, lost by two; famously at Turnberry in '77, when his closing 65-66 was trumped by Watson's 65-65, and Jack at 2nd finished 10 strokes clear of 3rd).
In the end, I'd argue the difference between Tiger and Jack is paper-thin -- a tie, really. Tiger has at least six, perhaps as many as 10 or 12, solid years to catch and exceed Jack. I think he'll do it, because he's shown himself to be the most determined athlete of his generation, perhaps ever. In my book, he's the equal of Jack right now -- but not yet better.