Mark:
Check out the roster of my former interns. I think some of them will be really good someday ... if they can survive the downturn in the business, and if they don't mind going to where the projects will happen 10 years from now.
I'm sure there are other associates out there who don't get enough credit for what they do, but they are tough to identify. The ones who will get mentioned are most likely the ones who are most interested in self-promotion, not necessarily the most talented ... although, it's also the former group who are more likely to make a name for themselves down the road. And the people who could handicap them best (their bosses) are the least likely to make their picks public, because singling out some would be passing over others, and we want EVERYONE to think they're special while they still work for us.