Scott,
A few years ago, Toro mentioned that they sent out about 400 product manuals to gca's - worldwide, I presume. Of course, that was in the boom prior to 2000 when just about every associate decided they could do it on their own, and probably took a nice client or two with them out of the office.
I am sure that number has dropped. Rumors are that about 30 gca's are giving up the ghost this year. But, who knows. Its a cheap business to be in, if you really want.
I just saw the NGF stats for course openings. In 2004, past the biggest boom, but where there were still about 300 USA based gca's, there were 150.6 equivant 18 hole courses opened - about 1 per every 2 gca's. In 2008 there were 53.5 new courses and 18.5 expansions for an 18 hole equivalent of 72 new course projects. Even counting the nine holers, that means 1 new project for every 4 gca's.
Its really worse than that, if you can imagine, because the Fazio, Nicklaus, Jones, Jones, Doak, CC, Norman, TPC Network, etc. all are way busier than average. For the rest of us, its about a 1 in bazillion chance of landing a new project right now.....if not higher. A lot of gca's survive on master plans, 2-3 hole remodels, lawsuit testimony, general consulting (old client called me today to offer a half dozen business analysis projects for soon to be bankrupts) etc. I have also drawn a few plans for clients who want to be ready - so there is some work out there that doesn't show up on the books as new courses.
I am not busy by any stretch, but I opened a revamped nine holer, half a new 18 holer, a new 18 holer and an 18 hole total refurb last year. That's 4 out of 72 which doesn't seem half bad, presuming the NGF actually picks up all that is on the radar screen. There is some debate about whether they do.
As to your last question about how do we get work? Haven't got the foggiest! Mike Nuzzo seems to have gotten a small foothold and maybe he can answer.