Kyle:
You want bang for buck here's a good listing of Jersey alternatives that are near enough for you to visit.
Heron Glen (Hunterdon County)
Any of the following taxpayer-owned courses in these counties:
Somerset (try the new Neshanic Valley layout)
Monmouth (especially Hominy Hill in Colts Neck)
Morris (avoid Berkshire Valley)
That's just for starters.
Kyle, I don't have solid empirical evidence but the simple fact is that the various counties I just mentioned have done studies to demonstrate the clear need for such recreational pursuits such as golf. I can also tell you the tee sheets have plenty of people just looking to jump into the mix.
The issue is keeping the price points competitive. Jersey hit its wall when certain facilities started to hit the $125 level. That is just not doable unless the layout were of a Bethpage Black quality. None in Jersey is.
What barrier? The people in New Jersey have a solid mixture of different courses by different architects and in all corners of the state. I say that's a good thing. The idea that the sky will fall in Pennsy is nonsense. The issue is that developers and management companies need to produce product that drives the people to come forward. Lederach and Morgan Hill have that potential.
I don't agree with you regarding your downplaying quality architecture. People develop sensitivity through exposure. I certainly did and my beginnings in golf came from dirt prone muni type courses. I wasn't born on third base and thought I hit a triple as some think. Give people an opportunity to sample what real quality golf is about and the rest can take care of itself if cultivated properly by ownership. It happened in Jersey -- it can happen elsewhere.
Thanks for the response. I've played both Heron Glen (a favorite while I was working at Cherry Valley in Princeton) and Neshanic Valley (this past March, and the two nines that were "closest" to the clubhouse) and enjoyed both. I'd go back, but again, Neshanic's green fee is still up in the $70.00 range and the course is an hour plus drive for me. It's worth a trip once or twice a season, but is not a regular destination candidate.
But I think you're touching on my point with the price ceiling being around $125.00, and I'd argue that regular golfers (in terms of frequency of play) who can pay that much per round aren't exactly looking for municipal golf, they're already members somewhere.
Barriers to entry for golf (by that I mean what a beginner must do to play) include cost of equipment, lessons, and playing, and availability to play. More courses certainly eliminate the lack of availability, but driving up the bar in green fee and difficulty will drive up the barrier in those respective categories as well.
Your healthy mix is certainly a great point, and I hope you don't take my position to mean that I would not like to see mroe courses of the architectural calibre of Lederach and Morgan Hill built in our area (and they are, slowly but surely), however, I feel these courses may need to be a bit more aggressive in regard to positioning themselves in the market based on cost, especially once the "newness" wears thin.
Another interesting thing about the New Jersey public golf scene is the relative lack of quality private courses (in Neshanic's area, I've only played Raritan Valley and Stanton Ridge, though Cherry Valley, Bedens Brook, and Hopewell Valley aren't terribly far and of course excepting the Somerset Hills and Baltusrols of the world) and all are mediocre at best in terms of architecture. So there may be more of a market for good design public golf in that area than here in Philadelphia, where the golfer who can afford $125 a round is probably a member at Philmont, Huntingdon Valley, Lulu, Manny's, Rolling Green, White Manor or Gulph Mills.
And yes, I grew up playing Five Ponds and surround courses, so I feel you in that regard as well.