Jim,
When I stood on #9 at Yale I thought that RG's #10 or even #14 had more interesting options for a 200 yard hole. I felt that if I just hit it straight I would be okay. I totally agree that your fade idea makes sense. Most don't realize that the green kicks to the right from that side.
But, weather and ground conditions control your decision here. If the wind is not favorable or the ground is hard then the margin for error of the aerial route is reduced.