shivas - I think you're right about this applying to every golfer - the amount of risk involved and exact distances just change a bit due to individual particulars. For example, the last time my Dad hit a ball 200 yards off the tee was probably in the 80s. For him, 150 is a 3wood, or would be if he hit such things - he hits his trusty 4iron anywhere from 300-100 into every green. That is not a typo.
For him, a risk is worth it to get to 100, because that means it's his trusty 7iron, which he hits from 1-100 yards off the green. That too is not a typo.
Obviously he's as weird as they come. But the point is it's tough to make this TOO general, or at least too tied to the exact distances.
But what I really want to know is if that's a typo re you reaching #2. Because weirdly enough although it is 430 yards, I am ready to believe it.... tail wind, rock hard ground....
Still I'd feel better if you meant #3.