(Part 1 of 3)
I’ve always been interested in this issue. Given declines in sports such as tennis, it is an important issue. I am inclined, to believe that distance is a problem. I strongly disagree in general with arguments from club manufacturers that improved equipment is not having a dramatic impact because scoring has remained relatively consistent on tour. I hate to see classic venues no longer able to host top events, particularly when newer replacements are often less satisfactory.
On the other hand, from the time the gutty replaced the featherie, there have been cries that technological innovation is ruining the game. Despite those arguments, the game has steadily grown over the last 100 years. One text gives the following yardages for a series of technological innovations
Until 1848 Feathery 140 yards
Until 1902 Gutty 190 yards
Until 1945 Wound 230 yards
Until present (1996) Modern 270 yards
Golf Course Architecture, Design, Construction and Restoration at 30-31 (Sleeping Bear Press, 1996). There probably should be an additional category setting distances in this decade at 295 yards or so. The current distance increase is along the same lines of increases associated with other significant equipment advances since 1848,
If one is going to claim “the sky is falling” one needs to make a strong case given the growth of the game in the face of such arguments. Unfortunately, I think many of the arguments advanced to date are flawed.
I recently read at the Bobby Weed Jr. and Chris Monti Article “Technology and the Game of Golf” in Paul Daley’s Golf Architecture, A Worldwide Perspective (Vol. 1) at 75-79 (2002), which makes the case for distance hurting the game. Other writers make similar arguments. See e.g. Geoff Shackelford, Grounds for Golf at 274-283 (St. Martin’s Press, 2003). In the interests of furthering discussion, I thought I would critically examine some of the arguments made by Messrs Weed and Monti. I think several of the arguments in the article are flat out wrong.
1. Myth 1 – Distance is far too important for the skilled player.
This argument has appeal for me. I love the punched shot under the wind or Tiger Wood’s shot from the road on 17 at the Old Course, or shots from Corey Pavin worked one way or the other in the wind.
The fundamental premise of this argument, as I understand it, is that for players at the top levels of the game, distance has become too large a part of the equation. I have heard Nick Price and other medium range tour pros make the same argument.
It has always been the case that the longer hitter has an advantage over the shorter hitter. The argument, as I understand it, is that the shorter hitter now does not have the opportunity to make up the difference through a better short game or through other means.
If distance were becoming too great of a factor in the game at the highest level, I would expect that the difference between a long hitter and a short to medium hitter on tour would be expanding. To test this theory, I took a look at PGA tour driving distance statistics for the last full year (2004) and compared the distance of the 5th ranked player to the distance of the 100th ranked player (out of 189). Comparing these distances over the last 25 years shows that while distances have increased dramatically, the difference between the long and medium hitter on tour has remained quite consist
2004 (Difference 16.9) 5. Chris Smith 304.0 100 Steve Elkington 287.1
1999 (Difference 19.1) 5. Harrison Frazar 290.5 100.Rocco Mediate 271.4
1995 (Difference 17.
5. Kelly Gibson 280.2 100. Chris Demarco 262.4
1989 (Difference 16.0) 5. Bill Sander 276.9 100. Jim Benepe 260.9
1980 (Difference 14.9) 5. Joe Hager 270.4 100. Tom Jones 255.5
(I chose the 5th ranked player rather than the first based on a belief that you can eliminate special circumstances by throwing out the longest distances.)
If indeed distance was becoming too large of a factor, one would expect this discrepancy to become larger. It has not. It is possible, given some of the statistics provided by Shotlink, that distance has become a larger factor in an individual’s success at the highest level. Analyzing that issue statistically is beyond my mathematical capabilities. I doubt it is the case, as shorter hitters continue to win their share of tournaments (Mike Weir, Todd Hamilton, Ben Curtis). Even if it were true, I would contend that such statistics would be related to course setup, as opposed to any absolute advantage in distance itself.